Aftermath
After a 52-week high, over the next day
A new 52-week closing high. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.02% over the next day after a 52-week high (half of them between -0.28% and +0.35%), against +0.06% on any day.
Latest new 52-week highs, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 day | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | JCI Johnson Controls | +3.0% on the day | -0.01% | Medium | #352 of 482 | 46% | 13 |
| Oct 2 | LITE Lumentum | +3.8% on the day | +1.65% | Medium | #119 of 482 | 67% | 12 |
| Oct 1 | KEYS Keysight Technologies | +2.7% on the day | +0.26% | Medium | #177 of 482 | 55% | 11 |
| Sep 30 | PANW Palo Alto Networks | +2.3% on the day | -0.27% | Medium | #310 of 482 | 46% | 13 |
| Sep 29 | NTAP NetApp | +2.3% on the day | +0.43% | Medium | #172 of 482 | 56% | 9 |
| Sep 28 | ABBV AbbVie | +0.7% on the day | -0.04% | Medium | #306 of 482 | 50% | 12 |
Best after a 52-week high
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NBIS meme | +6.34%+6.0 to +6.7 | Low | +6.33% | 100% | +6.40% | +6% · +7% | 3 |
| 2 | DIS Walt Disney Company … | +0.67%+0.6 to +0.8 | Low | +0.68% | 100% | +0.11% | +1% · +1% | 3 |
| 3 | ILMN Illumina, Inc. | +2.64%+2.1 to +2.7 | Low | +2.45% | 100% | +2.46% | +1% · +3% | 6 |
| 4 | AEP American Electric Power | +1.22%+0.8 to +1.4 | Medium | +1.02% | 82% | +1.08% | -1% · +3% | 11 |
| 5 | CSX CSX Corporation | +0.62%+0.4 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.46% | 92% | +0.32% | -1% · +1% | 12 |
| 6 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | +0.88%+0.6 to +1.4 | Medium | +0.92% | 100% | +0.51% | 0% · +2% | 8 |
| 7 | ERIE Erie Indemnity | +0.76%+0.6 to +1.2 | Medium | +0.70% | 78% | +0.90% | -1% · +2% | 9 |
| 8 | ARES Ares Management | +0.69%+0.4 to +1.0 | Medium | +0.77% | 73% | +0.30% | -2% · +5% | 15 |
| 9 | IRM Iron Mountain | +0.71%+0.5 to +0.9 | Medium | +0.85% | 75% | +0.58% | -2% · +4% | 16 |
| 10 | OKE Oneok | +0.69%+0.3 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.63% | 77% | +0.79% | -1% · +4% | 13 |
| 11 | ANET Arista Networks | +1.32%+0.4 to +1.6 | High | +1.35% | 80% | +0.73% | -3% · +6% | 20 |
| 12 | JBL Jabil | +0.50%+0.4 to +0.5 | Medium | +0.23% | 78% | +0.28% | -7% · +4% | 18 |
| 13 | ATO Atmos Energy | +0.60%+0.2 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.57% | 83% | +0.45% | -1% · +2% | 12 |
| 14 | SPY meme | +0.52%+0.1 to +0.8 | High | +0.43% | 70% | 0.00% | -1% · +2% | 20 |
| 15 | MCO Moody's Corporation | +0.63%+0.1 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.31% | 73% | +0.82% | -1% · +1% | 11 |
| 16 | MRSH Marsh McLennan | +0.25%+0.2 to +0.4 | Medium | +0.30% | 79% | -0.10% | 0% · +1% | 14 |
| 17 | TDG TransDigm Group | +0.39%-0.1 to +0.5 | Medium | +0.34% | 65% | +0.09% | -2% · +2% | 17 |
| 18 | JNJ Johnson & Johnson | +0.70%+0.2 to +0.8 | Medium | +0.38% | 73% | -0.14% | -2% · +2% | 11 |
| 19 | EVRG Evergy | +0.50%+0.1 to +0.6 | Medium | +0.35% | 69% | +0.53% | -1% · +2% | 13 |
| 20 | V Visa Inc. | +0.37%+0.2 to +0.6 | Medium | +0.04% | 67% | +0.14% | -3% · +1% | 15 |
| 21 | JPM JPMorgan Chase | +0.32%0.0 to +0.5 | High | +0.28% | 65% | +0.35% | -2% · +2% | 20 |
| 22 | HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise | +1.28%+0.6 to +1.8 | Medium | +1.42% | 73% | +0.89% | -1% · +5% | 11 |
| 23 | WAB Wabtec | +0.38%-0.1 to +0.6 | High | +0.28% | 59% | +0.16% | -3% · +3% | 22 |
| 24 | TPL Texas Pacific Land … | +2.71%+1.1 to +2.9 | Medium | +3.15% | 100% | +2.21% | 0% · +7% | 8 |
| 25 | DOC Healthpeak Properties | +0.55%+0.1 to +0.8 | Low | +0.57% | 83% | +1.28% | 0% · +2% | 6 |
Worst after a 52-week high
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JKHY Jack Henry & … | -0.59%-0.8 to -0.6 | Low | -0.60% | 0% | -0.36% | -1% · 0% | 5 |
| 2 | AES AES Corporation | -0.66%-1.0 to -0.5 | Low | -0.60% | 0% | -1.13% | -1% · 0% | 4 |
| 3 | TFC Truist Financial | -0.79%-1.0 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.91% | 18% | -0.71% | -4% · 0% | 11 |
| 4 | AMP Ameriprise Financial | -0.72%-0.8 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.97% | 20% | -0.47% | -5% · +1% | 15 |
| 5 | TT Trane Technologies | -0.50%-0.8 to -0.2 | Medium | -0.71% | 32% | -0.49% | -4% · +1% | 19 |
| 6 | VICI Vici Properties | -0.65%-1.2 to -0.5 | Low | -0.63% | 0% | -0.93% | -1% · 0% | 4 |
| 7 | PCAR Paccar | -0.24%-0.3 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.01% | 38% | -0.28% | -1% · +1% | 13 |
| 8 | TTWO Take-Two Interactive | -0.44%-0.9 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.56% | 33% | +0.06% | -3% · +1% | 12 |
| 9 | CPT Camden Property Trust | -0.26%-0.4 to -0.1 | Low | -0.22% | 17% | -0.11% | -1% · +1% | 6 |
| 10 | CRH CRH plc | -0.51%-0.8 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.42% | 29% | -0.35% | -2% · +1% | 17 |
| 11 | IWM meme | -0.28%-0.5 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.12% | 29% | -0.23% | -1% · +1% | 14 |
| 12 | OMC Omnicom Group | -0.83%-1.0 to -0.2 | Medium | -0.72% | 27% | -0.83% | -3% · +1% | 11 |
| 13 | YUM Yum! Brands | -0.26%-0.6 to -0.2 | Medium | -0.23% | 25% | +0.11% | -1% · +1% | 8 |
| 14 | ISRG Intuitive Surgical | -0.24%-0.6 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.23% | 33% | -0.26% | -2% · +1% | 12 |
| 15 | PNR Pentair | -1.28%-1.9 to -0.4 | Medium | -1.19% | 18% | -0.69% | -4% · +2% | 11 |
| 16 | LYV Live Nation Entertainment | -0.48%-1.0 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.69% | 12% | -0.15% | -2% · 0% | 8 |
| 17 | TJX TJX Companies | -0.36%-0.7 to -0.2 | High | -0.13% | 40% | -0.23% | -2% · +3% | 20 |
| 18 | ROK Rockwell Automation | -0.34%-0.6 to -0.2 | Medium | +0.27% | 33% | -0.28% | -1% · +5% | 12 |
| 19 | PNW Pinnacle West Capital | -0.36%-0.7 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.39% | 40% | +0.01% | -3% · +1% | 15 |
| 20 | CFG Citizens Financial Group | -0.39%-0.5 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.06% | 33% | -0.18% | -3% · +2% | 15 |
| 21 | C Citigroup | -0.65%-0.9 to +0.3 | Medium | -0.47% | 41% | -0.34% | -2% · +1% | 17 |
| 22 | CHRW C.H. Robinson | -1.16%-1.9 to -0.6 | Medium | -1.08% | 30% | -0.76% | -4% · +1% | 10 |
| 23 | BAC Bank of America | -0.28%-0.6 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.27% | 31% | -0.06% | -2% · +1% | 13 |
| 24 | WST West Pharmaceutical Services | -1.12%-1.2 to +0.1 | Low | -0.93% | 29% | -0.55% | -4% · +1% | 7 |
| 25 | CNP CenterPoint Energy | -0.44%-1.1 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.47% | 25% | -0.79% | -3% · +2% | 12 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next day from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.