Market backdrop

Economy & Fed

US releases with the consensus forecast, the actual and the first 30 minutes of market reaction; statements, speeches and testimony from the Federal Reserve. Times are Eastern.

Thu 08:30 · Medium impact

Unemployment Claims

197K

vs 201K expected · prior 197K

strongerS&P fut -0.11%Nasdaq fut -0.14%10y +1bpDollar +0.16%

Wed 08:30 · Medium impact

Final GDP Price Index q/q

6.1%

vs 6.4% expected · prior 6.4%

coolerS&P fut +0.18%Nasdaq fut +0.38%10y 0bpDollar -0.07%

Wed 08:30 · High impact

Final GDP q/q

2.2%

vs 1.5% expected · prior 1.5%

strongerS&P fut +0.18%Nasdaq fut +0.38%10y 0bpDollar -0.07%

Wed 08:30 · High impact

Core PCE Price Index m/m

0.2%

vs 0.3% expected · prior 0.2%

coolerS&P fut +0.18%Nasdaq fut +0.38%10y 0bpDollar -0.07%

Wed 08:15 · Medium impact

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

90K

vs 73K expected · prior 38K

strongerS&P fut +0.34%Nasdaq fut +0.49%10y -2bpDollar -0.18%

Calendar

Sep 29 Tuesday

10:00	CB Consumer Confidence	pending	exp 89.2	prior 89.4
10:00	JOLTS Job Openings	7.08M	exp 7.23M	prior 7.27M	weaker S&P fut +0.07%10y -1bp

Sep 30 Wednesday

08:15	ADP Non-Farm Employment Change	90K	exp 73K	prior 38K	stronger S&P fut +0.34%10y -2bp
08:30	Core PCE Price Index m/m	0.2%	exp 0.3%	prior 0.2%	cooler S&P fut +0.18%10y 0bp
08:30	Final GDP q/q	2.2%	exp 1.5%	prior 1.5%	stronger S&P fut +0.18%10y 0bp
08:30	Final GDP Price Index q/q	6.1%	exp 6.4%	prior 6.4%	cooler S&P fut +0.18%10y 0bp
15:30	President Trump Speaks
18:00	FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks

Oct 1 · today Thursday

08:30	Unemployment Claims	197K	exp 201K	prior 197K	stronger S&P fut -0.11%10y +1bp
10:00	FOMC Member Waller Speaks
10:00	ISM Manufacturing PMI	pending	exp 54.8	prior 54.6

Oct 2 Friday

08:30	Average Hourly Earnings m/m	exp 0.3%	prior 0.3%
08:30	Non-Farm Employment Change	exp 89K	prior 162K
08:30	Unemployment Rate	exp 4.1%	prior 4.1%

High- and medium-impact US events. Forecasts are the consensus from ForexFactory's public calendar; actuals from FRED (St. Louis Fed) or Yahoo Finance. Tone only says which way the number came in: inflation hotter or cooler, activity and jobs stronger or weaker. Releases at the same minute share one reaction.