Aftermath
After a 52-week high, over the next week
A new 52-week closing high. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.11% over the next week after a 52-week high (half of them between -0.73% and +0.80%), against +0.27% on any day.
Latest new 52-week highs, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 week | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | JCI Johnson Controls | +3.0% on the day | +0.97% | Medium | #88 of 482 | 69% | 13 |
| Oct 2 | LITE Lumentum | +3.8% on the day | +1.08% | Medium | #215 of 482 | 58% | 12 |
| Oct 1 | KEYS Keysight Technologies | +2.7% on the day | -1.20% | Medium | #359 of 482 | 30% | 10 |
| Sep 30 | PANW Palo Alto Networks | +2.3% on the day | +3.79% | Medium | #66 of 482 | 75% | 12 |
| Sep 29 | NTAP NetApp | +2.3% on the day | +1.15% | Medium | #146 of 482 | 62% | 8 |
| Sep 28 | ABBV AbbVie | +0.7% on the day | +0.84% | Medium | #153 of 482 | 55% | 11 |
Best after a 52-week high
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXE Expand Energy | +0.76%+0.3 to +0.9 | Medium | +1.02% | 88% | +0.93% | 0% · +4% | 8 |
| 2 | SPGI S&P Global | +1.27%+1.0 to +1.5 | Medium | +1.42% | 78% | +0.02% | -1% · +6% | 9 |
| 3 | AEP American Electric Power | +1.60%+0.9 to +2.3 | Medium | +0.92% | 73% | +2.79% | -7% · +4% | 11 |
| 4 | GPC Genuine Parts Company | +2.25%+1.1 to +2.7 | Low | +2.48% | 100% | +1.41% | +1% · +4% | 4 |
| 5 | GLW Corning Inc. | +2.63%+1.9 to +2.8 | Medium | +2.82% | 69% | +2.39% | -5% · +22% | 13 |
| 6 | FISV Fiserv | +1.40%+0.6 to +2.0 | Medium | +1.49% | 83% | +0.84% | -1% · +4% | 12 |
| 7 | ADP Automatic Data Processing | +0.65%-0.1 to +0.8 | Medium | +0.59% | 75% | -0.12% | 0% · +1% | 8 |
| 8 | RJF Raymond James Financial | +1.65%+0.8 to +2.6 | Medium | +2.03% | 88% | +1.43% | -1% · +7% | 8 |
| 9 | SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation | +0.99%0.0 to +1.3 | Medium | +0.90% | 80% | +0.61% | -2% · +3% | 10 |
| 10 | SPY meme | +0.62%+0.3 to +1.0 | High | +0.46% | 75% | 0.00% | -2% · +2% | 20 |
| 11 | WMT Walmart | +0.71%0.0 to +1.0 | Medium | -0.26% | 63% | -0.08% | -12% · +5% | 19 |
| 12 | VRT Vertiv | +3.40%+1.5 to +4.8 | Medium | +2.65% | 76% | +2.36% | -26% · +22% | 17 |
| 13 | TPL Texas Pacific Land … | +4.74%+1.6 to +5.3 | Medium | +6.12% | 100% | +4.12% | +1% · +16% | 8 |
| 14 | CHD Church & Dwight | +0.91%-0.2 to +1.0 | Low | +0.79% | 71% | -0.97% | 0% · +3% | 7 |
| 15 | HLT Hilton Worldwide | +1.00%+0.6 to +1.8 | Medium | +0.95% | 72% | +0.69% | -2% · +5% | 18 |
| 16 | AZO AutoZone | +1.79%+0.4 to +2.9 | Medium | +1.60% | 75% | +2.00% | -5% · +5% | 12 |
| 17 | GE GE Aerospace | +0.89%-0.3 to +1.0 | High | +0.36% | 58% | -0.25% | -7% · +7% | 26 |
| 18 | CRWD CrowdStrike | +3.21%+1.2 to +3.8 | Medium | +3.15% | 79% | +1.87% | -6% · +16% | 14 |
| 19 | MCO Moody's Corporation | +1.48%-0.1 to +2.1 | Medium | +1.08% | 64% | +1.47% | -2% · +5% | 11 |
| 20 | KVUE Kenvue | +1.47%+0.1 to +2.6 | Low | +1.39% | 100% | +1.95% | 0% · +3% | 3 |
| 21 | QQQ meme | +0.68%+0.2 to +1.0 | Medium | +0.28% | 67% | +0.15% | -3% · +3% | 18 |
| 22 | CTVA Corteva | +2.14%-0.1 to +2.8 | Medium | +0.75% | 64% | +0.93% | -6% · +4% | 11 |
| 23 | L Loews Corporation | +0.53%0.0 to +0.9 | Medium | +0.31% | 63% | -0.16% | -3% · +3% | 19 |
| 24 | GRMN Garmin | +1.96%-0.1 to +2.3 | Medium | +0.85% | 65% | -0.01% | -6% · +4% | 17 |
| 25 | GD General Dynamics | +0.54%-0.1 to +0.8 | Medium | +0.50% | 67% | -0.36% | -2% · +4% | 15 |
Worst after a 52-week high
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSCO Tractor Supply | -1.32%-1.3 to -0.9 | Low | -1.37% | 14% | -1.38% | -5% · +1% | 7 |
| 2 | BMY Bristol Myers Squibb | -1.90%-2.2 to -1.2 | Low | -1.16% | 14% | -0.93% | -4% · +5% | 7 |
| 3 | LULU Lululemon Athletica | -2.19%-3.0 to -1.7 | Low | -1.86% | 17% | -1.54% | -3% · 0% | 6 |
| 4 | OMC Omnicom Group | -2.46%-2.9 to -1.5 | Medium | -2.47% | 18% | -2.05% | -7% · +2% | 11 |
| 5 | WST West Pharmaceutical Services | -1.52%-1.5 to +0.6 | Low | -1.01% | 29% | -1.63% | -4% · +2% | 7 |
| 6 | MTD Mettler Toledo | -1.80%-2.5 to -1.6 | Low | -1.81% | 17% | -2.78% | -4% · +1% | 6 |
| 7 | BSX Boston Scientific | -0.68%-1.0 to 0.0 | High | -0.75% | 38% | +0.14% | -8% · +5% | 21 |
| 8 | DGX Quest Diagnostics | -0.75%-1.0 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.28% | 40% | -1.79% | -5% · +8% | 15 |
| 9 | DOC Healthpeak Properties | -0.36%-0.7 to -0.3 | Low | -0.43% | 33% | -0.15% | -2% · 0% | 6 |
| 10 | LH Labcorp | -1.40%-2.6 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.72% | 27% | -1.18% | -4% · +8% | 11 |
| 11 | KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | -0.68%-0.9 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.51% | 31% | -0.11% | -6% · +3% | 13 |
| 12 | NWS News Corp (Class … | -1.30%-2.3 to -0.8 | Medium | -0.58% | 25% | -0.08% | -6% · +8% | 12 |
| 13 | ICE Intercontinental Exchange | -0.95%-1.6 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.80% | 36% | -0.94% | -4% · +1% | 14 |
| 14 | APO Apollo Global Management | -0.69%-1.2 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.03% | 31% | -1.22% | -2% · +5% | 13 |
| 15 | NIVF meme | -0.41%-1.0 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.68% | 0% | -0.46% | -2% · 0% | 8 |
| 16 | PSA Public Storage | -0.76%-1.4 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.11% | 25% | -0.54% | -2% · +5% | 8 |
| 17 | FDX FedEx | -1.12%-1.5 to -0.2 | Medium | -0.56% | 27% | -0.99% | -4% · +3% | 11 |
| 18 | REG Regency Centers | -0.87%-1.7 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.82% | 33% | -0.83% | -2% · +1% | 9 |
| 19 | DPZ Domino's | -0.91%-1.9 to -0.9 | Low | -0.38% | 33% | -2.07% | -2% · +3% | 6 |
| 20 | AVGO Broadcom | -2.31%-3.2 to -0.3 | High | -2.43% | 35% | -1.75% | -14% · +8% | 20 |
| 21 | PFE Pfizer | -2.41%-2.8 to +0.2 | Low | -1.65% | 33% | -1.90% | -3% · 0% | 3 |
| 22 | T AT&T | -1.18%-2.1 to -0.6 | Medium | -1.54% | 23% | -1.92% | -6% · +2% | 13 |
| 23 | VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | -0.97%-1.2 to +0.5 | Medium | -1.09% | 38% | -1.12% | -10% · +5% | 13 |
| 24 | ZBRA Zebra Technologies | -1.40%-2.0 to +0.6 | Medium | -0.49% | 38% | -1.01% | -3% · +4% | 8 |
| 25 | SYY Sysco | -2.03%-2.5 to -1.8 | Low | -2.11% | 17% | -2.58% | -7% · +1% | 6 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next week from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.