Aftermath
After a 52-week low, over the next day
A new 52-week closing low. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.01% over the next day after a 52-week low (half of them between -0.64% and +0.71%), against +0.06% on any day.
Latest new 52-week lows, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 day | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BSX Boston Scientific | -1.5% on the day | +1.08% | Low | #46 of 272 | 60% | 5 |
| Oct 2 | LOW Lowe's | -0.9% on the day | -0.10% | Low | #237 of 272 | 33% | 3 |
| Oct 2 | NFLX Netflix | -1.2% on the day | — | — | |||
| Oct 1 | CTVA Corteva | -83.8% on the day | -2.17% | Low | #240 of 272 | 0% | 3 |
| Oct 1 | MGM MGM Resorts | -1.9% on the day | +0.03% | Low | #137 of 272 | 60% | 5 |
| Oct 1 | MKC McCormick & Company | -4.9% on the day | +0.01% | Medium | #173 of 272 | 56% | 9 |
| Oct 1 | PNR Pentair | -0.2% on the day | +0.13% | Low | #113 of 272 | 50% | 6 |
| Sep 30 | APP AppLovin | -5.0% on the day | +0.61% | Low | #129 of 272 | 60% | 5 |
| Sep 30 | CAPS | -12.5% on the day | 0.00% | Medium | #149 of 272 | 42% | 19 |
| Sep 30 | EQT EQT Corporation | -0.7% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 30 | MCD McDonald's | -1.3% on the day | +0.58% | Low | #10 of 272 | 80% | 5 |
| Sep 30 | NOC Northrop Grumman | -4.2% on the day | +0.42% | Low | #14 of 272 | 75% | 4 |
| Sep 30 | WEC WEC Energy Group | -1.8% on the day | +1.57% | Low | #8 of 272 | 100% | 3 |
| Sep 29 | CPRT Copart | -0.3% on the day | +0.20% | Medium | #69 of 272 | 55% | 11 |
| Sep 29 | LVS Las Vegas Sands | -1.2% on the day | -0.03% | Low | #139 of 272 | 50% | 6 |
| Sep 29 | SBAC SBA Communications | -0.4% on the day | -0.03% | Medium | #168 of 272 | 45% | 11 |
| Sep 29 | WYNN Wynn Resorts | -2.8% on the day | -0.27% | Low | #174 of 272 | 40% | 5 |
| Sep 28 | CNP CenterPoint Energy | -0.6% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 28 | CSGP CoStar Group | -3.8% on the day | +0.21% | Medium | #76 of 272 | 50% | 10 |
| Sep 28 | EXE Expand Energy | -1.8% on the day | +0.28% | Low | #120 of 272 | 50% | 4 |
| Sep 28 | TTD | -2.1% on the day | -1.00% | Medium | #247 of 272 | 31% | 13 |
Best after a 52-week low
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OMC Omnicom Group | +1.33%+1.2 to +1.7 | Low | +1.54% | 100% | +0.97% | +1% · +3% | 5 |
| 2 | TTWO Take-Two Interactive | +1.74%+0.6 to +1.8 | Low | +1.36% | 100% | +2.12% | +1% · +2% | 3 |
| 3 | LYB LyondellBasell | +1.93%+1.4 to +2.2 | Low | +1.78% | 83% | +2.06% | -1% · +4% | 6 |
| 4 | WDAY Workday, Inc. | +2.07%+0.7 to +2.6 | Low | +1.94% | 100% | +1.41% | +1% · +3% | 4 |
| 5 | VICI Vici Properties | +1.39%+0.8 to +1.8 | Low | +1.04% | 80% | -0.16% | -1% · +2% | 5 |
| 6 | EIX Edison International | +1.65%+0.1 to +2.0 | Low | +1.46% | 100% | +0.50% | 0% · +2% | 4 |
| 7 | JKHY Jack Henry & … | +0.80%+0.4 to +1.3 | Low | +0.80% | 86% | +0.03% | -2% · +2% | 7 |
| 8 | WEC WEC Energy Group | +1.57%+0.9 to +3.0 | Low | +1.85% | 100% | +0.76% | +1% · +3% | 3 |
| 9 | CDW CDW Corporation | +0.50%0.0 to +1.0 | Medium | +0.80% | 75% | +0.25% | 0% · +3% | 8 |
| 10 | TLT meme | +0.33%+0.1 to +0.4 | Low | +0.21% | 80% | +0.48% | 0% · +1% | 5 |
| 11 | MCD McDonald's | +0.58%+0.4 to +0.7 | Low | +0.64% | 80% | +0.64% | 0% · +2% | 5 |
| 12 | OTIS Otis Worldwide | +0.74%-0.3 to +0.8 | Low | +0.73% | 75% | +0.85% | 0% · +2% | 4 |
| 13 | WAT Waters Corporation | +0.75%0.0 to +1.5 | Low | +0.76% | 67% | +0.89% | 0% · +2% | 3 |
| 14 | ABNB Airbnb | +1.44%-0.3 to +2.0 | Low | +1.02% | 67% | -0.16% | 0% · +2% | 3 |
| 15 | NOC Northrop Grumman | +0.42%-0.3 to +0.7 | Low | +0.32% | 75% | -0.10% | 0% · +1% | 4 |
| 16 | FIS Fidelity National Information … | +1.49%-0.7 to +2.0 | Medium | +1.36% | 70% | +1.43% | -2% · +7% | 10 |
| 17 | MTD Mettler Toledo | +1.39%-0.6 to +1.5 | Low | +0.77% | 67% | +0.76% | -1% · +1% | 3 |
| 18 | AWK American Water Works | +0.80%0.0 to +1.4 | Low | +0.92% | 75% | +1.36% | 0% · +2% | 4 |
| 19 | BAC Bank of America | +0.30%+0.1 to +0.9 | Low | +0.43% | 100% | -0.61% | 0% · +1% | 3 |
| 20 | BF-B Brown–Forman | +0.52%-0.2 to +0.9 | Medium | +0.49% | 64% | -0.67% | -1% · +3% | 11 |
| 21 | EG Everest Group | +1.49%-1.0 to +1.7 | Low | +0.73% | 67% | +1.44% | -1% · +2% | 3 |
| 22 | ORLY O'Reilly Automotive | +1.60%-0.3 to +2.9 | Low | +1.40% | 67% | +0.55% | 0% · +3% | 3 |
| 23 | LEN Lennar | +0.62%+0.5 to +1.9 | Low | +0.75% | 71% | -0.06% | -1% · +2% | 7 |
| 24 | GIS General Mills | +0.41%-0.1 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.29% | 53% | -0.21% | -4% · +4% | 15 |
| 25 | VZ Verizon | +1.89%-0.6 to +2.6 | Low | +1.28% | 67% | +0.84% | -1% · +3% | 3 |
Worst after a 52-week low
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NTRS Northern Trust | -1.50%-1.9 to -1.5 | Low | -1.62% | 0% | -0.83% | -2% · -1% | 3 |
| 2 | BR Broadridge Financial Solutions | -0.97%-1.5 to -0.8 | Low | -0.91% | 0% | -1.82% | -1% · 0% | 4 |
| 3 | D Dominion Energy | -2.40%-2.9 to -0.5 | Low | -1.94% | 17% | -0.61% | -4% · 0% | 6 |
| 4 | T AT&T | -0.59%-1.1 to -0.3 | Low | -0.65% | 0% | -1.33% | -1% · 0% | 3 |
| 5 | AOS A. O. Smith | -2.47%-2.6 to -1.1 | Low | -1.67% | 20% | +0.30% | -3% · 0% | 5 |
| 6 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | -0.66%-0.7 to +0.2 | Low | -0.40% | 33% | -0.25% | -1% · 0% | 3 |
| 7 | SYK Stryker Corporation | -1.23%-2.0 to -0.4 | Low | -1.19% | 0% | -0.89% | -2% · 0% | 3 |
| 8 | PFE Pfizer | -0.51%-1.1 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.53% | 22% | -0.15% | -2% · +1% | 9 |
| 9 | CL Colgate-Palmolive | -0.60%-0.8 to -0.4 | Low | -0.25% | 25% | +1.60% | -1% · +1% | 4 |
| 10 | ROL Rollins, Inc. | -0.99%-1.3 to 0.0 | Low | -0.76% | 20% | -1.71% | -2% · 0% | 5 |
| 11 | TRMB Trimble Inc. | -1.70%-3.9 to -0.8 | Low | -1.77% | 14% | -1.84% | -4% · +2% | 7 |
| 12 | HTZ meme | -1.84%-2.7 to -0.9 | Medium | -2.27% | 20% | -1.06% | -11% · +2% | 10 |
| 13 | EFX Equifax | -0.53%-0.6 to +0.5 | Medium | +0.07% | 38% | -0.48% | -1% · +2% | 8 |
| 14 | TYL Tyler Technologies | -0.91%-1.3 to +0.7 | Low | -0.50% | 33% | -0.46% | -2% · +1% | 6 |
| 15 | IBRX meme | -2.70%-3.5 to -1.5 | Low | -1.93% | 20% | -2.98% | -4% · +2% | 5 |
| 16 | INVH Invitation Homes | -0.65%-0.9 to +0.8 | Low | -0.02% | 29% | -0.68% | -1% · +3% | 7 |
| 17 | ABT Abbott Laboratories | -0.58%-1.1 to -0.2 | Low | -0.62% | 20% | -1.50% | -2% · +1% | 5 |
| 18 | IQV IQVIA | -0.85%-2.3 to +0.3 | Low | -0.83% | 29% | -1.26% | -2% · +2% | 7 |
| 19 | DASH DoorDash | -1.65%-3.4 to -0.5 | Low | -1.85% | 0% | -0.57% | -3% · 0% | 3 |
| 20 | CVS CVS Health | -1.53%-1.8 to +0.8 | Low | -0.70% | 29% | -1.13% | -4% · +4% | 7 |
| 21 | BDX Becton Dickinson | -0.61%-1.1 to +1.1 | Low | -0.11% | 33% | -0.21% | -1% · +2% | 6 |
| 22 | SHW Sherwin-Williams | -1.47%-2.2 to +0.9 | Low | -0.93% | 33% | -0.77% | -2% · +1% | 3 |
| 23 | AJG Arthur J. Gallagher … | -1.41%-2.4 to -0.8 | Low | -0.67% | 25% | -1.29% | -2% · +3% | 4 |
| 24 | MRNA Moderna | -1.41%-2.4 to +0.3 | Medium | -0.72% | 40% | -0.33% | -6% · +6% | 10 |
| 25 | HRL Hormel Foods | -0.46%-0.7 to +0.5 | Medium | -0.64% | 44% | -0.42% | -5% · +1% | 9 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next day from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.