Aftermath
After a 52-week low, over the next week
A new 52-week closing low. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.54% over the next week after a 52-week low (half of them between -0.99% and +2.29%), against +0.27% on any day.
Latest new 52-week lows, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 week | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BSX Boston Scientific | -1.5% on the day | -2.32% | Low | #209 of 270 | 40% | 5 |
| Oct 2 | LOW Lowe's | -0.9% on the day | +3.98% | Low | #22 of 270 | 67% | 3 |
| Oct 2 | NFLX Netflix | -1.2% on the day | — | — | |||
| Oct 1 | CTVA Corteva | -83.8% on the day | — | — | |||
| Oct 1 | MGM MGM Resorts | -1.9% on the day | +6.32% | Low | #70 of 270 | 75% | 4 |
| Oct 1 | MKC McCormick & Company | -4.9% on the day | -0.97% | Medium | #215 of 270 | 50% | 8 |
| Oct 1 | PNR Pentair | -0.2% on the day | -2.04% | Low | #251 of 270 | 20% | 5 |
| Sep 30 | APP AppLovin | -5.0% on the day | -3.02% | Low | #188 of 270 | 50% | 4 |
| Sep 30 | CAPS | -12.5% on the day | 0.00% | Medium | #212 of 270 | 33% | 18 |
| Sep 30 | EQT EQT Corporation | -0.7% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 30 | MCD McDonald's | -1.3% on the day | +0.39% | Low | #210 of 270 | 75% | 4 |
| Sep 30 | NOC Northrop Grumman | -4.2% on the day | +1.78% | Low | #111 of 270 | 67% | 3 |
| Sep 30 | WEC WEC Energy Group | -1.8% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 29 | CPRT Copart | -0.3% on the day | +0.06% | Medium | #235 of 270 | 50% | 10 |
| Sep 29 | LVS Las Vegas Sands | -1.2% on the day | +0.61% | Low | #127 of 270 | 60% | 5 |
| Sep 29 | SBAC SBA Communications | -0.4% on the day | +2.07% | Medium | #73 of 270 | 60% | 10 |
| Sep 29 | WYNN Wynn Resorts | -2.8% on the day | +0.74% | Low | #120 of 270 | 50% | 4 |
| Sep 28 | CNP CenterPoint Energy | -0.6% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 28 | CSGP CoStar Group | -3.8% on the day | -1.25% | Medium | #191 of 270 | 44% | 9 |
| Sep 28 | EXE Expand Energy | -1.8% on the day | +0.12% | Low | #163 of 270 | 67% | 3 |
| Sep 28 | TTD | -2.1% on the day | -1.05% | Medium | #211 of 270 | 50% | 12 |
Best after a 52-week low
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORLY O'Reilly Automotive | +3.61%+3.2 to +4.0 | Low | +3.60% | 100% | +5.45% | +3% · +4% | 3 |
| 2 | SHW Sherwin-Williams | +3.26%+3.0 to +4.0 | Low | +3.39% | 100% | +2.38% | +3% · +4% | 3 |
| 3 | OKLO meme | +5.21%+3.1 to +5.5 | Low | +5.04% | 100% | +4.99% | +3% · +7% | 4 |
| 4 | INTU Intuit | +7.97%+7.6 to +9.6 | Low | +9.24% | 100% | +6.52% | +3% · +17% | 7 |
| 5 | ZBH Zimmer Biomet | +2.78%+2.0 to +2.9 | Medium | +2.75% | 100% | +1.98% | 0% · +7% | 9 |
| 6 | EIX Edison International | +5.30%+3.8 to +6.3 | Low | +5.77% | 100% | +3.96% | +4% · +9% | 4 |
| 7 | APD Air Products | +4.64%+2.1 to +5.5 | Low | +4.29% | 100% | +3.50% | +2% · +6% | 4 |
| 8 | WST West Pharmaceutical Services | +6.53%+5.9 to +9.1 | Low | +7.42% | 100% | +5.27% | +4% · +12% | 5 |
| 9 | NSC Norfolk Southern | +5.31%+3.3 to +5.5 | Low | +5.13% | 100% | +1.14% | +2% · +9% | 5 |
| 10 | ISRG Intuitive Surgical | +3.75%+2.0 to +3.9 | Low | +2.97% | 83% | +1.39% | -1% · +5% | 6 |
| 11 | TDY Teledyne Technologies | +3.90%+2.4 to +5.7 | Low | +3.97% | 100% | +0.16% | +2% · +6% | 3 |
| 12 | TTWO Take-Two Interactive | +4.92%+3.7 to +8.0 | Low | +5.53% | 100% | +3.66% | +4% · +8% | 3 |
| 13 | WTW Willis Towers Watson | +1.86%+0.7 to +2.0 | Low | +1.54% | 100% | +3.10% | +1% · +2% | 3 |
| 14 | GPC Genuine Parts Company | +4.85%+3.7 to +5.3 | Low | +3.75% | 83% | +1.77% | -2% · +5% | 6 |
| 15 | WRB W. R. Berkley … | +2.43%+0.2 to +2.4 | Low | +2.04% | 100% | +0.69% | 0% · +3% | 4 |
| 16 | KHC Kraft Heinz | +1.93%+0.9 to +2.2 | Medium | +2.19% | 89% | +0.49% | -1% · +6% | 9 |
| 17 | TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +7.72%+4.6 to +7.8 | Low | +6.38% | 80% | +2.26% | -2% · +14% | 5 |
| 18 | HII Huntington Ingalls Industries | +2.61%+0.7 to +3.1 | Low | +3.21% | 100% | +1.29% | +1% · +7% | 4 |
| 19 | APA APA Corporation | +2.59%+0.7 to +3.1 | Medium | +0.30% | 80% | +1.81% | -18% · +6% | 10 |
| 20 | NEM Newmont | +5.23%+0.6 to +5.9 | Low | +5.17% | 100% | +3.22% | +1% · +10% | 4 |
| 21 | F Ford Motor Company | +7.68%+1.0 to +8.7 | Low | +5.80% | 100% | +0.46% | +1% · +9% | 3 |
| 22 | MOS Mosaic Company (The) | +2.73%-0.8 to +3.2 | Medium | +4.01% | 67% | -0.36% | -1% · +16% | 12 |
| 23 | LOW Lowe's | +3.98%-0.7 to +5.2 | Low | +2.82% | 67% | +4.38% | -1% · +5% | 3 |
| 24 | SW Smurfit Westrock | +5.68%-0.9 to +7.0 | Low | +3.93% | 67% | +4.46% | -1% · +7% | 3 |
| 25 | PSA Public Storage | +3.86%+3.7 to +9.1 | Low | +5.58% | 100% | +2.55% | +4% · +9% | 3 |
Worst after a 52-week low
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BR Broadridge Financial Solutions | -1.89%-2.6 to -1.4 | Low | -1.92% | 0% | -2.29% | -3% · -1% | 4 |
| 2 | RIVN meme | -6.08%-6.6 to -4.0 | Low | -5.11% | 0% | -4.16% | -8% · -1% | 5 |
| 3 | OTIS Otis Worldwide | -2.40%-2.9 to -2.3 | Low | -1.63% | 25% | -2.17% | -3% · +1% | 4 |
| 4 | AOS A. O. Smith | -2.18%-2.7 to -1.2 | Low | -1.81% | 0% | -2.39% | -3% · 0% | 5 |
| 5 | MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities | -0.80%-1.6 to -0.8 | Medium | -0.25% | 25% | -0.03% | -2% · +4% | 8 |
| 6 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | -2.27%-2.7 to +0.4 | Low | -1.52% | 33% | -1.31% | -3% · 0% | 3 |
| 7 | D Dominion Energy | -3.58%-6.0 to -1.8 | Low | -4.00% | 0% | -3.39% | -8% · -1% | 6 |
| 8 | VRSN Verisign | -0.40%-0.7 to +0.8 | Low | -0.10% | 33% | +1.89% | -1% · +1% | 3 |
| 9 | NVR NVR, Inc. | -1.16%-1.9 to -0.6 | Low | -0.37% | 25% | -2.94% | -2% · +3% | 4 |
| 10 | WAT Waters Corporation | -0.73%-2.5 to -0.3 | Low | -1.19% | 0% | -1.81% | -2% · 0% | 3 |
| 11 | ARE Alexandria Real Estate … | -1.74%-4.0 to -1.1 | Medium | -3.23% | 27% | -3.86% | -16% · +7% | 11 |
| 12 | PFE Pfizer | -0.45%-0.8 to +0.8 | Medium | -0.37% | 44% | -0.89% | -5% · +2% | 9 |
| 13 | CPT Camden Property Trust | -1.68%-3.0 to +1.2 | Low | -1.42% | 29% | -1.96% | -5% · +2% | 7 |
| 14 | RF Regions Financial Corporation | -2.10%-3.0 to +1.0 | Low | -1.37% | 33% | -0.48% | -3% · +1% | 3 |
| 15 | LDOS Leidos | -6.35%-6.4 to -0.4 | Low | -4.39% | 0% | -8.41% | -6% · 0% | 3 |
| 16 | CHTR Charter Communications | -3.49%-4.7 to -1.4 | Medium | -1.55% | 27% | -1.83% | -15% · +18% | 11 |
| 17 | INVH Invitation Homes | -1.42%-2.3 to +0.1 | Low | -0.34% | 43% | -0.90% | -3% · +3% | 7 |
| 18 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | -2.13%-4.3 to -0.7 | Low | -2.63% | 0% | -2.38% | -5% · -1% | 5 |
| 19 | XYL Xylem Inc. | -1.58%-3.0 to -1.4 | Low | -0.39% | 25% | -1.02% | -3% · +5% | 4 |
| 20 | ILMN Illumina, Inc. | -4.56%-8.5 to -3.7 | Low | -3.74% | 17% | -2.55% | -9% · +5% | 6 |
| 21 | PNR Pentair | -2.04%-3.0 to -1.1 | Low | -1.80% | 20% | -2.90% | -6% · +3% | 5 |
| 22 | DOW Dow Inc. | -2.25%-3.1 to -2.0 | Low | -2.25% | 20% | -0.42% | -7% · +3% | 5 |
| 23 | EL Estée Lauder Companies … | -1.50%-3.8 to -0.9 | Medium | -1.44% | 30% | -2.68% | -8% · +7% | 10 |
| 24 | HPQ HP Inc. | -1.50%-3.8 to -1.5 | Low | -0.93% | 25% | -1.60% | -4% · +3% | 4 |
| 25 | BF-B Brown–Forman | -1.45%-4.7 to +0.1 | Medium | -1.95% | 36% | -3.37% | -7% · +5% | 11 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next week from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.