After an analyst upgrade, over the next month
A rating upgrade; entry at the next session's close. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.58% over the next month after an analyst upgrade (half of them between -3.72% and +7.21%), against +0.86% on any day.
Latest analyst upgrades, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 month | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | NFLX Netflix | Deutsche Bank: Hold → Buy | -3.88% | Low | #16 of 18 | 17% | 6 |
Best after an analyst upgrade
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMAT Applied Materials | +7.71%+5.2 to +9.8 | Low | +10.46% | 100% | +9.11% | +5% · +24% | 5 |
| 2 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | +20.04%-8.5 to +20.0 | Low | +12.81% | 67% | +19.00% | -9% · +48% | 9 |
| 3 | STX Seagate Technology | +25.45%-4.7 to +38.3 | Low | +19.70% | 67% | +24.44% | -5% · +38% | 3 |
| 4 | AAPL Apple Inc. | +5.71%-2.7 to +8.7 | Low | +3.68% | 71% | +3.59% | -5% · +10% | 7 |
| 5 | MU Micron Technology | +27.90%-8.4 to +49.6 | Low | +23.02% | 67% | +26.64% | -8% · +50% | 3 |
| 6 | INTC Intel | +14.26%-4.0 to +32.5 | Low | +20.22% | 67% | +14.59% | -17% · +82% | 6 |
| 7 | BE Bloom Energy | +0.24%-22.6 to +41.9 | Low | +6.50% | 67% | -2.44% | -23% · +42% | 3 |
| 8 | PLTR Palantir Technologies | +3.23%-0.4 to +14.8 | Low | +4.00% | 71% | +7.89% | -28% · +23% | 7 |
| 9 | NOW ServiceNow | +1.26%-19.9 to +7.4 | Low | -3.73% | 67% | -1.66% | -20% · +7% | 3 |
| 10 | RKLB meme | -5.26%-35.4 to +3.6 | Low | -8.04% | 50% | -7.47% | -35% · +14% | 4 |
| 11 | IBM IBM | -3.25%-18.5 to -2.3 | Low | +1.76% | 25% | +1.65% | -19% · +32% | 4 |
| 12 | CRWD CrowdStrike | +0.48%-8.7 to +10.0 | Low | +2.90% | 56% | +3.67% | -14% · +39% | 9 |
| 13 | SNPS Synopsys | -6.22%-19.5 to +12.7 | Low | -4.33% | 33% | -5.79% | -19% · +13% | 3 |
| 14 | TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.67%-7.3 to +1.9 | Low | +1.79% | 50% | -0.64% | -7% · +13% | 4 |
| 15 | CRWV meme | -4.22%-5.0 to +8.3 | Low | +1.21% | 40% | -2.17% | -10% · +17% | 5 |
| 16 | MCD McDonald's | -0.01%-6.7 to +3.1 | Low | +0.21% | 50% | +2.15% | -7% · +8% | 4 |
| 17 | NKE Nike, Inc. | -12.26%-20.7 to +5.3 | Low | -9.05% | 20% | -11.83% | -21% · +5% | 5 |
| 18 | TTD meme | -14.55%-30.1 to -9.3 | Low | -18.00% | 0% | -19.15% | -30% · -9% | 3 |
| 19 | NFLX Netflix | -3.88%-9.7 to -2.2 | Low | -2.51% | 17% | -4.11% | -11% · +14% | 6 |
| 20 | RIVN meme | -5.74%-7.3 to -5.7 | Low | -9.00% | 0% | -6.81% | -27% · -2% | 6 |
| 21 | BA Boeing | -5.40%-11.9 to -1.8 | Low | -5.20% | 25% | -6.77% | -12% · +2% | 4 |
| 22 | ORCL Oracle Corporation | -4.67%-4.7 to -1.9 | Low | -3.75% | 0% | -4.25% | -7% · 0% | 5 |
Worst after an analyst upgrade
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORCL Oracle Corporation | -4.67%-4.7 to -1.9 | Low | -3.75% | 0% | -4.25% | -7% · 0% | 5 |
| 2 | BA Boeing | -5.40%-11.9 to -1.8 | Low | -5.20% | 25% | -6.77% | -12% · +2% | 4 |
| 3 | RIVN meme | -5.74%-7.3 to -5.7 | Low | -9.00% | 0% | -6.81% | -27% · -2% | 6 |
| 4 | NFLX Netflix | -3.88%-9.7 to -2.2 | Low | -2.51% | 17% | -4.11% | -11% · +14% | 6 |
| 5 | TTD meme | -14.55%-30.1 to -9.3 | Low | -18.00% | 0% | -19.15% | -30% · -9% | 3 |
| 6 | NKE Nike, Inc. | -12.26%-20.7 to +5.3 | Low | -9.05% | 20% | -11.83% | -21% · +5% | 5 |
| 7 | MCD McDonald's | -0.01%-6.7 to +3.1 | Low | +0.21% | 50% | +2.15% | -7% · +8% | 4 |
| 8 | CRWV meme | -4.22%-5.0 to +8.3 | Low | +1.21% | 40% | -2.17% | -10% · +17% | 5 |
| 9 | TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.67%-7.3 to +1.9 | Low | +1.79% | 50% | -0.64% | -7% · +13% | 4 |
| 10 | SNPS Synopsys | -6.22%-19.5 to +12.7 | Low | -4.33% | 33% | -5.79% | -19% · +13% | 3 |
| 11 | CRWD CrowdStrike | +0.48%-8.7 to +10.0 | Low | +2.90% | 56% | +3.67% | -14% · +39% | 9 |
| 12 | IBM IBM | -3.25%-18.5 to -2.3 | Low | +1.76% | 25% | +1.65% | -19% · +32% | 4 |
| 13 | RKLB meme | -5.26%-35.4 to +3.6 | Low | -8.04% | 50% | -7.47% | -35% · +14% | 4 |
| 14 | NOW ServiceNow | +1.26%-19.9 to +7.4 | Low | -3.73% | 67% | -1.66% | -20% · +7% | 3 |
| 15 | PLTR Palantir Technologies | +3.23%-0.4 to +14.8 | Low | +4.00% | 71% | +7.89% | -28% · +23% | 7 |
| 16 | BE Bloom Energy | +0.24%-22.6 to +41.9 | Low | +6.50% | 67% | -2.44% | -23% · +42% | 3 |
| 17 | INTC Intel | +14.26%-4.0 to +32.5 | Low | +20.22% | 67% | +14.59% | -17% · +82% | 6 |
| 18 | MU Micron Technology | +27.90%-8.4 to +49.6 | Low | +23.02% | 67% | +26.64% | -8% · +50% | 3 |
| 19 | AAPL Apple Inc. | +5.71%-2.7 to +8.7 | Low | +3.68% | 71% | +3.59% | -5% · +10% | 7 |
| 20 | STX Seagate Technology | +25.45%-4.7 to +38.3 | Low | +19.70% | 67% | +24.44% | -5% · +38% | 3 |
| 21 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | +20.04%-8.5 to +20.0 | Low | +12.81% | 67% | +19.00% | -9% · +48% | 9 |
| 22 | AMAT Applied Materials | +7.71%+5.2 to +9.8 | Low | +10.46% | 100% | +9.11% | +5% · +24% | 5 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next month from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.