After an analyst upgrade, over the next week
A rating upgrade; entry at the next session's close. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.27% over the next week after an analyst upgrade (half of them between -2.13% and +2.59%), against +0.27% on any day.
Latest analyst upgrades, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 week | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | NFLX Netflix | Deutsche Bank: Hold → Buy | -0.37% | Low | #13 of 19 | 50% | 6 |
Best after an analyst upgrade
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BE Bloom Energy | +7.05%+6.6 to +7.4 | Low | +7.02% | 100% | +5.83% | +7% · +7% | 3 |
| 2 | INTC Intel | +13.14%-4.9 to +18.1 | Low | +13.04% | 71% | +12.53% | -12% · +45% | 7 |
| 3 | AMAT Applied Materials | +3.58%+2.8 to +6.7 | Low | +4.56% | 100% | +2.41% | +2% · +8% | 5 |
| 4 | STX Seagate Technology | +14.04%-6.8 to +14.6 | Low | +7.31% | 67% | +11.40% | -7% · +15% | 3 |
| 5 | IBM IBM | +3.12%-0.6 to +6.0 | Low | +3.62% | 75% | +3.55% | -1% · +9% | 4 |
| 6 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | +2.06%-1.4 to +10.1 | Low | +3.97% | 67% | +2.47% | -5% · +13% | 9 |
| 7 | RKLB meme | +2.06%-18.4 to +6.5 | Low | +0.58% | 50% | -1.03% | -18% · +17% | 4 |
| 8 | MCD McDonald's | +1.48%-4.2 to +1.7 | Low | +0.19% | 75% | +1.10% | -4% · +2% | 4 |
| 9 | MU Micron Technology | +0.74%-10.0 to +10.7 | Low | +0.49% | 67% | +1.77% | -10% · +11% | 3 |
| 10 | CRWV meme | +0.29%-8.9 to +2.3 | Low | -0.49% | 50% | -0.29% | -17% · +12% | 6 |
| 11 | TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +1.31%-1.1 to +2.1 | Low | +1.25% | 75% | +0.49% | -1% · +4% | 4 |
| 12 | IREN meme | -1.17%-3.1 to +16.8 | Low | +4.17% | 33% | -0.97% | -3% · +17% | 3 |
| 13 | COST Costco | +0.27%-1.0 to +5.9 | Low | +1.74% | 67% | +0.65% | -1% · +6% | 3 |
| 14 | SNPS Synopsys | -2.03%-3.8 to -0.5 | Low | -0.45% | 20% | -2.66% | -11% · +15% | 5 |
| 15 | AAPL Apple Inc. | +0.24%-0.2 to +2.4 | Low | +0.46% | 57% | +0.16% | -2% · +3% | 7 |
| 16 | NFLX Netflix | -0.37%-0.9 to 0.0 | Low | +0.77% | 50% | +0.34% | -5% · +8% | 6 |
| 17 | PLTR Palantir Technologies | -2.42%-7.6 to -1.9 | Low | -1.49% | 29% | -3.80% | -18% · +15% | 7 |
| 18 | NOW ServiceNow | -0.93%-2.5 to +1.3 | Low | -0.70% | 33% | -2.62% | -2% · +1% | 3 |
| 19 | CRWD CrowdStrike | -3.06%-4.7 to +1.8 | Medium | -1.33% | 33% | -2.67% | -15% · +11% | 9 |
| 20 | TTD meme | -7.05%-14.1 to -3.2 | Low | -8.11% | 0% | -4.74% | -14% · -3% | 3 |
| 21 | NKE Nike, Inc. | -2.23%-3.0 to -2.1 | Low | -3.59% | 0% | -1.95% | -9% · -1% | 5 |
| 22 | ORCL Oracle Corporation | -2.33%-3.7 to -2.3 | Low | -1.79% | 20% | -1.48% | -4% · +3% | 5 |
| 23 | BA Boeing | -2.77%-6.3 to -1.7 | Low | -3.32% | 0% | -3.02% | -6% · -1% | 4 |
| 24 | RIVN meme | -7.33%-8.2 to -5.6 | Low | -6.07% | 17% | -8.86% | -8% · 0% | 6 |
Worst after an analyst upgrade
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RIVN meme | -7.33%-8.2 to -5.6 | Low | -6.07% | 17% | -8.86% | -8% · 0% | 6 |
| 2 | BA Boeing | -2.77%-6.3 to -1.7 | Low | -3.32% | 0% | -3.02% | -6% · -1% | 4 |
| 3 | ORCL Oracle Corporation | -2.33%-3.7 to -2.3 | Low | -1.79% | 20% | -1.48% | -4% · +3% | 5 |
| 4 | NKE Nike, Inc. | -2.23%-3.0 to -2.1 | Low | -3.59% | 0% | -1.95% | -9% · -1% | 5 |
| 5 | TTD meme | -7.05%-14.1 to -3.2 | Low | -8.11% | 0% | -4.74% | -14% · -3% | 3 |
| 6 | CRWD CrowdStrike | -3.06%-4.7 to +1.8 | Medium | -1.33% | 33% | -2.67% | -15% · +11% | 9 |
| 7 | NOW ServiceNow | -0.93%-2.5 to +1.3 | Low | -0.70% | 33% | -2.62% | -2% · +1% | 3 |
| 8 | PLTR Palantir Technologies | -2.42%-7.6 to -1.9 | Low | -1.49% | 29% | -3.80% | -18% · +15% | 7 |
| 9 | NFLX Netflix | -0.37%-0.9 to 0.0 | Low | +0.77% | 50% | +0.34% | -5% · +8% | 6 |
| 10 | AAPL Apple Inc. | +0.24%-0.2 to +2.4 | Low | +0.46% | 57% | +0.16% | -2% · +3% | 7 |
| 11 | SNPS Synopsys | -2.03%-3.8 to -0.5 | Low | -0.45% | 20% | -2.66% | -11% · +15% | 5 |
| 12 | COST Costco | +0.27%-1.0 to +5.9 | Low | +1.74% | 67% | +0.65% | -1% · +6% | 3 |
| 13 | IREN meme | -1.17%-3.1 to +16.8 | Low | +4.17% | 33% | -0.97% | -3% · +17% | 3 |
| 14 | TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +1.31%-1.1 to +2.1 | Low | +1.25% | 75% | +0.49% | -1% · +4% | 4 |
| 15 | CRWV meme | +0.29%-8.9 to +2.3 | Low | -0.49% | 50% | -0.29% | -17% · +12% | 6 |
| 16 | MU Micron Technology | +0.74%-10.0 to +10.7 | Low | +0.49% | 67% | +1.77% | -10% · +11% | 3 |
| 17 | MCD McDonald's | +1.48%-4.2 to +1.7 | Low | +0.19% | 75% | +1.10% | -4% · +2% | 4 |
| 18 | RKLB meme | +2.06%-18.4 to +6.5 | Low | +0.58% | 50% | -1.03% | -18% · +17% | 4 |
| 19 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | +2.06%-1.4 to +10.1 | Low | +3.97% | 67% | +2.47% | -5% · +13% | 9 |
| 20 | IBM IBM | +3.12%-0.6 to +6.0 | Low | +3.62% | 75% | +3.55% | -1% · +9% | 4 |
| 21 | STX Seagate Technology | +14.04%-6.8 to +14.6 | Low | +7.31% | 67% | +11.40% | -7% · +15% | 3 |
| 22 | AMAT Applied Materials | +3.58%+2.8 to +6.7 | Low | +4.56% | 100% | +2.41% | +2% · +8% | 5 |
| 23 | INTC Intel | +13.14%-4.9 to +18.1 | Low | +13.04% | 71% | +12.53% | -12% · +45% | 7 |
| 24 | BE Bloom Energy | +7.05%+6.6 to +7.4 | Low | +7.02% | 100% | +5.83% | +7% · +7% | 3 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next week from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.