Social trend and summarized meme
Sentiment vs. Performance
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I ran it through an LLM. Here's OP's post reformatted for clarity: ---- # My Reddit Stock Picks Experiment: A Year in Review ## Background 80% of my portfolio is in the S&P 500, but I wanted to be more aggressive while I'm younger. I knew I could afford to gamble a bit, so in January 2025, I bought 11 of the most-mentioned stocks on various investing subreddits. There were some I didn't invest in for personal reasons, and I didn't put the full 20% into these picks--I still have cash on the sidelines. --- ## My January 2025 Picks (11 Stocks) | Stock | Return | |-------|--------| | NVDA | +32% | | PLTR | +141% | | ASTS | +241% | | RKLB | +97% | | AMD | +80% | | SMCI | +15% | | BBAI | +66% | | AUR | -27% | | BTC | -4% | | HIMS | +56% | | TEM | +124% | **Average Return: +74.64%** --- ## Most-Mentioned Stocks This Year (22 Stocks) | Stock | Return | |--------|--------| | NVDA | +32% | | PLTR | +141% | | AMD | +80% | | TSM | +46% | | ORCL | +31% | | ASML | +57% | | AVGO | +68% | | VRT | +60% | | NBIS | +221% | | CRWV | +120% | | SOFI | +96% | | ASTS | +241% | | RKLB | +97% | | LUNR | -42% | | [Redacted] | -84% | | [Redacted] | -68% | | IREN | +327% | | HOOD | +234% | | BBAI | +66% | | RDDT | +41% | | BABA | +86% | **Average Return: +88.09%** --- ## Benchmark Comparison: ETFs & Mag 7 | Investment | Return | |------------|--------| | SMH (Semiconductor ETF) | +48.87% | | SOXX (Semiconductor ETF) | +42.70% | | DTCR (Data Center ETF) | +28.69% | | Mag 7 (Average) | +24.87% | | VOO (S&P 500 ETF) | +17.31% | | SPY (S&P 500 ETF) | +17.28% | ### Mag 7 Individual Returns | Stock | Return | |-----------|--------| | NVDA | +32% | | Microsoft | +15% | | Amazon | +4% | | Google | +69% | | Meta | +12% | | Tesla | +20% | --- ## My Takeaways Although both groups of Reddit picks performed well, the market and Redditors were fearful more often than they were positive. More importantly, **history is not an indicator of future performance**, and as many have been saying for the past few years, we're due for a pullback. That pullback may come today or in five years--no one knows. The skeptic in me believes that while the trend may continue, you never know: - Who will continue their growth - Who will falter - Who will be the next big thing - Who will ink big deals - Who will run out of money - Whose tech will become superior or inferior All that to say: **a tech ETF might be safer than choosing the wrong individual stocks**. And the S&P 500 is safer than those. --- *What conclusions do you draw from this?*
PLTR SOFI AVGO IREN RDDT HOOD SPY BBAI NVDA VOO BTC ASTS AMD RKLB NBIS ORCL AUR CRWV HIMS SMCITechnical Analysis
| Oscillators | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.47 | NEUTRAL | |
| Stoch.K | 85.66 | NEUTRAL | |
| CCI20 | 111.59 | NEUTRAL | |
| ADX | 20.46 | NEUTRAL | |
| AO | 34.01 | NEUTRAL | |
| Mom | 46.05 | BUY | |
| MACD.macd | 14.24 | BUY | |
| Stoch.RSI.K | 75.59 | NEUTRAL | |
| W.R | -6.34 | NEUTRAL | |
| BBPower | 32.39 | NEUTRAL | |
| UO | 61.12 | NEUTRAL | |
| Moving Averages | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| EMA10 | 291.37 | BUY | |
| SMA10 | 289.79 | BUY | |
| EMA20 | 279.63 | BUY | |
| SMA20 | 273.29 | BUY | |
| EMA30 | 270.88 | BUY | |
| SMA30 | 270.05 | BUY | |
| EMA50 | 255.65 | BUY | |
| SMA50 | 256.95 | BUY | |
| EMA100 | 227.54 | BUY | |
| SMA100 | 215.51 | BUY | |
| EMA200 | 193.52 | BUY | |
| SMA200 | 182.43 | BUY | |
| Ichimoku.BLine | 272.08 | NEUTRAL | |
| VWMA | 265.03 | BUY | |
| HullMA9 | 306.78 | BUY | |
They were wrong then, and maybe I'm wrong now. I was more than happy to ride companies like VRT and ...
| Date** | Open | High | Low | Close or Current | R500* | Mentions | Positive Mentions | Up Votes | Voted Sentiment** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2026/04/17 | +1.55% | +4.90% | +1.39% | +4.49% $307.34 | #1 | None | 0 | None | |
| Thu 2026/04/16 | +0.61% | +0.71% | -2.82% | -2.33% $294.13 | #482 | None | 0 | None | |
| Wed 2026/04/15 | -0.33% | +0.16% | -4.47% | -3.01% $301.16 | #481 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -0.61 |
| Tue 2026/04/14 | +2.35% | +4.17% | -0.32% | +3.52% $310.51 | #28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 |
| Mon 2026/04/13 | -0.04% | +1.89% | -0.04% | +1.64% $299.96 | #184 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1.87 |
| Sat 2026/04/11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | |||||
| Fri 2026/04/10 | +0.73% | +3.45% | +0.58% | +2.60% $295.11 | #13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1.64 |
| Thu 2026/04/09 | -0.01% | +3.55% | -0.02% | +2.35% $287.64 | #34 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7.19 |
| Wed 2026/04/08 | +6.70% | +8.88% | +4.22% | +7.14% $281.03 | #29 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 |
| Tue 2026/04/07 | -0.68% | +1.45% | -2.60% | +1.38% $262.30 | #47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 |
| Mon 2026/04/06 | +0.63% | +2.00% | -1.03% | -0.98% $258.73 | #453 | None | 0 | None | |
| Thu 2026/04/02 | -3.95% | +2.94% | -4.42% | +0.74% $261.29 | #193 | None | 0 | None | |
| Wed 2026/04/01 | +2.56% | +5.97% | +2.56% | +3.51% $259.37 | #25 | None | 0 | None | |
| Tue 2026/03/31 | -0.52% | +7.16% | -0.52% | +6.98% $250.58 | #21 | None | 0 | None | |
| Mon 2026/03/30 | +1.05% | +1.74% | -7.71% | -6.71% $234.22 | #492 | None | 0 | None | |
| Fri 2026/03/27 | -0.97% | +1.76% | -1.55% | -0.53% $251.07 | #151 | None | 0 | None | |
| Thu 2026/03/26 | -0.85% | -0.72% | -8.60% | -8.60% $252.40 | #494 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.72 |
| Wed 2026/03/25 | +2.18% | +4.12% | +1.15% | +1.95% $276.16 | #63 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3.83 |
| Tue 2026/03/24 | +0.00% | +5.82% | -1.89% | +5.82% $270.89 | #8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.36 |
| Mon 2026/03/23 | +1.22% | +6.25% | -0.30% | +0.05% $256.00 | #375 | None | 0 | None | |
| Fri 2026/03/20 | -0.20% | +1.36% | -5.07% | -4.94% $255.88 | #487 | None | 0 | None | |
| Thu 2026/03/19 | -2.37% | +2.41% | -3.28% | +1.68% $269.17 | #65 | None | 0 | None | |
| Wed 2026/03/18 | +1.20% | +2.35% | -1.44% | -1.38% $264.71 | #240 | None | 0 | None | |
| Tue 2026/03/17 | -1.52% | +2.34% | -1.95% | +1.41% $268.41 | #117 | None | 0 | None | |
| Mon 2026/03/16 | +1.08% | +4.65% | +1.08% | +2.26% $264.68 | #56 | None | 0 | None | |
| Fri 2026/03/13 | -0.07% | +1.45% | -3.51% | -2.45% $258.82 | #472 | None | 0 | None | |
| Thu 2026/03/12 | -1.72% | +1.19% | -4.10% | -1.07% $265.32 | #190 | None | 0 | None | |
| Wed 2026/03/11 | +0.76% | +2.49% | -1.29% | -0.67% $268.20 | #290 | None | 0 | None | |
| Tue 2026/03/10 | +0.45% | +3.97% | +0.06% | +2.16% $270.00 | #18 | None | 0 | None | |
| Mon 2026/03/09 | +4.02% | +10.29% | +3.81% | +9.33% $264.29 | #3 | None | 0 | None | |
| Fri 2026/03/06 | -3.50% | +0.69% | -4.44% | -3.19% $241.72 | #411 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1.39 |
| Thu 2026/03/05 | -1.51% | +2.80% | -4.99% | -0.61% $249.69 | #179 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.00 |
| Wed 2026/03/04 | +2.03% | +4.44% | +0.37% | +2.80% $251.22 | #36 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.65 |
| Tue 2026/03/03 | -4.74% | -3.70% | -8.94% | -5.16% $244.38 | #477 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.61 |
| Mon 2026/03/02 | -2.14% | +1.57% | -4.19% | +1.12% $257.69 | #107 | None | 0 | None | |
| Sat 2026/02/28 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2.03 | |||||
| Fri 2026/02/27 | -2.98% | -0.55% | -5.23% | -1.67% $254.83 | #401 | None | 0 | None | |
| Thu 2026/02/26 | -0.78% | -0.78% | -7.82% | -1.13% $259.17 | #427 | None | 0 | None | |
| Wed 2026/02/25 | +0.91% | +4.63% | +0.73% | +3.57% $262.13 | #32 | None | 0 | None | |
| Tue 2026/02/24 | +0.44% | +3.28% | -1.69% | +3.15% $253.09 | #51 | None | 0 | None | |
| Mon 2026/02/23 | -0.47% | +0.83% | -1.54% | +0.69% $245.36 | #113 | None | 0 | None | |
| Sat 2026/02/21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.36 | |||||
| Fri 2026/02/20 | -0.85% | +1.54% | -2.00% | +0.28% $243.69 | #285 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.08 |
Not investment advice. Invest at your own risk.