Social trend and summarized meme
Sentiment vs. Performance
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I ran it through an LLM. Here's OP's post reformatted for clarity: ---- # My Reddit Stock Picks Experiment: A Year in Review ## Background 80% of my portfolio is in the S&P 500, but I wanted to be more aggressive while I'm younger. I knew I could afford to gamble a bit, so in January 2025, I bought 11 of the most-mentioned stocks on various investing subreddits. There were some I didn't invest in for personal reasons, and I didn't put the full 20% into these picks--I still have cash on the sidelines. --- ## My January 2025 Picks (11 Stocks) | Stock | Return | |-------|--------| | NVDA | +32% | | PLTR | +141% | | ASTS | +241% | | RKLB | +97% | | AMD | +80% | | SMCI | +15% | | BBAI | +66% | | AUR | -27% | | BTC | -4% | | HIMS | +56% | | TEM | +124% | **Average Return: +74.64%** --- ## Most-Mentioned Stocks This Year (22 Stocks) | Stock | Return | |--------|--------| | NVDA | +32% | | PLTR | +141% | | AMD | +80% | | TSM | +46% | | ORCL | +31% | | ASML | +57% | | AVGO | +68% | | VRT | +60% | | NBIS | +221% | | CRWV | +120% | | SOFI | +96% | | ASTS | +241% | | RKLB | +97% | | LUNR | -42% | | [Redacted] | -84% | | [Redacted] | -68% | | IREN | +327% | | HOOD | +234% | | BBAI | +66% | | RDDT | +41% | | BABA | +86% | **Average Return: +88.09%** --- ## Benchmark Comparison: ETFs & Mag 7 | Investment | Return | |------------|--------| | SMH (Semiconductor ETF) | +48.87% | | SOXX (Semiconductor ETF) | +42.70% | | DTCR (Data Center ETF) | +28.69% | | Mag 7 (Average) | +24.87% | | VOO (S&P 500 ETF) | +17.31% | | SPY (S&P 500 ETF) | +17.28% | ### Mag 7 Individual Returns | Stock | Return | |-----------|--------| | NVDA | +32% | | Microsoft | +15% | | Amazon | +4% | | Google | +69% | | Meta | +12% | | Tesla | +20% | --- ## My Takeaways Although both groups of Reddit picks performed well, the market and Redditors were fearful more often than they were positive. More importantly, **history is not an indicator of future performance**, and as many have been saying for the past few years, we're due for a pullback. That pullback may come today or in five years--no one knows. The skeptic in me believes that while the trend may continue, you never know: - Who will continue their growth - Who will falter - Who will be the next big thing - Who will ink big deals - Who will run out of money - Whose tech will become superior or inferior All that to say: **a tech ETF might be safer than choosing the wrong individual stocks**. And the S&P 500 is safer than those. --- *What conclusions do you draw from this?*
PLTR SOFI AVGO IREN RDDT HOOD SPY BBAI NVDA VOO BTC ASTS AMD RKLB NBIS ORCL AUR CRWV HIMS SMCITechnical Analysis
| Oscillators | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.06 | NEUTRAL | |
| Stoch.K | 14.40 | NEUTRAL | |
| CCI20 | -68.83 | NEUTRAL | |
| ADX | 16.15 | NEUTRAL | |
| AO | -7.62 | NEUTRAL | |
| Mom | -47.55 | BUY | |
| MACD.macd | 1.20 | SELL | |
| Stoch.RSI.K | 6.27 | NEUTRAL | |
| W.R | -77.85 | NEUTRAL | |
| BBPower | -13.47 | BUY | |
| UO | 47.30 | NEUTRAL | |
| Moving Averages | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| EMA10 | 325.70 | SELL | |
| SMA10 | 322.59 | BUY | |
| EMA20 | 328.13 | SELL | |
| SMA20 | 339.45 | SELL | |
| EMA30 | 323.66 | SELL | |
| SMA30 | 331.89 | SELL | |
| EMA50 | 309.28 | BUY | |
| SMA50 | 308.45 | BUY | |
| EMA100 | 274.82 | BUY | |
| SMA100 | 263.92 | BUY | |
| EMA200 | 229.45 | BUY | |
| SMA200 | 212.21 | BUY | |
| Ichimoku.BLine | 336.91 | NEUTRAL | |
| VWMA | 338.12 | SELL | |
| HullMA9 | 316.01 | BUY | |
| Date** | Open | High | Low | Close or Current | R500* | Mentions | Positive Mentions | Up Votes | Voted Sentiment** |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 2026/04/26 | +1.91% | +2.73% | -2.28% | -0.91% $331.44 | #307 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 |
| Sat 2026/04/25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -0.05 | |||||
| Fri 2026/04/24 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3.81 | |||||
| Thu 2026/04/23 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 16.73 | |||||
| Wed 2026/04/22 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 1.42 | |||||
| Tue 2026/04/21 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2.33 | |||||
| Mon 2026/04/20 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.74 | |||||
| Wed 2026/04/15 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -0.61 | |||||
| Tue 2026/04/14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | |||||
| Mon 2026/04/13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1.87 | |||||
| Sat 2026/04/11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | |||||
| Fri 2026/04/10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1.64 | |||||
| Thu 2026/04/09 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7.19 | |||||
| Wed 2026/04/08 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | |||||
| Tue 2026/04/07 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 |
Not investment advice. Invest at your own risk.