Aftermath
After an RSI oversold reading, over the next day
The 14-day RSI falls below 30. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.13% over the next day after an RSI oversold reading (half of them between -0.33% and +0.58%), against +0.06% on any day.
Latest oversold readings, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 day | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | APP AppLovin | RSI 28.4, -4.7% on the day | -2.35% | Medium | #396 of 496 | 45% | 11 |
| Oct 2 | FISV Fiserv | RSI 29.2, -2.2% on the day | +1.08% | Medium | #134 of 496 | 56% | 9 |
| Oct 2 | GPN Global Payments | RSI 29.6, -2.4% on the day | +0.68% | Medium | #112 of 496 | 57% | 14 |
| Oct 2 | IP International Paper | RSI 28.5, -1.7% on the day | +0.44% | Medium | #105 of 496 | 80% | 15 |
| Oct 2 | KKR KKR & Co. | RSI 29.6, -1.0% on the day | +2.30% | Medium | #50 of 496 | 80% | 10 |
| Oct 2 | MCO Moody's Corporation | RSI 30.0, -1.3% on the day | -0.70% | Medium | #374 of 496 | 38% | 8 |
| Oct 2 | NKE Nike, Inc. | RSI 28.5, -3.6% on the day | 0.00% | Medium | #342 of 496 | 50% | 18 |
| Oct 2 | REG Regency Centers | RSI 29.1, -0.3% on the day | +0.58% | Medium | #73 of 496 | 62% | 8 |
| Oct 2 | WEN | RSI 29.0, -2.1% on the day | -0.63% | Medium | #437 of 496 | 46% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | AFL Aflac | RSI 29.4, -0.5% on the day | +0.32% | Low | #149 of 496 | 57% | 7 |
| Oct 1 | CTVA Corteva | RSI 5.8, -83.8% on the day | +0.54% | Low | #202 of 496 | 57% | 7 |
| Oct 1 | GS Goldman Sachs | RSI 29.8, -0.4% on the day | +0.15% | Medium | #212 of 496 | 60% | 10 |
| Oct 1 | KMB Kimberly-Clark | RSI 28.7, -3.2% on the day | +0.02% | Medium | #310 of 496 | 54% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | RSG Republic Services | RSI 29.3, -1.4% on the day | 0.00% | Low | #370 of 496 | 40% | 5 |
| Oct 1 | VTR Ventas | RSI 26.3, -1.5% on the day | -1.36% | Medium | #479 of 496 | 33% | 9 |
| Sep 30 | ABT Abbott Laboratories | RSI 29.9, -2.1% on the day | +0.62% | Medium | #52 of 496 | 53% | 17 |
| Sep 30 | APO Apollo Global Management | RSI 29.6, -2.5% on the day | +0.35% | Medium | #235 of 496 | 54% | 13 |
| Sep 30 | CB Chubb Limited | RSI 29.8, -2.1% on the day | +1.57% | Low | #14 of 496 | 86% | 7 |
| Sep 30 | F Ford Motor Company | RSI 29.0, -1.9% on the day | +0.27% | Medium | #204 of 496 | 55% | 11 |
| Sep 30 | KHC Kraft Heinz | RSI 28.2, -3.1% on the day | +0.40% | Medium | #33 of 496 | 67% | 12 |
| Sep 30 | LQDA | RSI 20.2, -57.2% on the day | +2.07% | Low | #224 of 496 | 60% | 5 |
| Sep 30 | NAMM | RSI 28.3, -4.7% on the day | +3.94% | Low | #218 of 496 | 67% | 6 |
| Sep 30 | NOC Northrop Grumman | RSI 26.8, -4.2% on the day | -0.31% | Medium | #334 of 496 | 44% | 9 |
| Sep 30 | OKE Oneok | RSI 28.3, -1.8% on the day | +0.90% | Medium | #186 of 496 | 75% | 8 |
| Sep 30 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | RSI 29.8, -0.5% on the day | +0.68% | Medium | #16 of 496 | 80% | 10 |
| Sep 30 | PLD Prologis | RSI 30.0, -2.1% on the day | -1.54% | Medium | #492 of 496 | 25% | 12 |
| Sep 30 | SO Southern Company | RSI 28.5, -0.7% on the day | +0.51% | Medium | #170 of 496 | 62% | 8 |
| Sep 30 | UDR UDR, Inc. | RSI 27.0, -1.2% on the day | -0.04% | Medium | #413 of 496 | 50% | 16 |
| Sep 29 | CASY Casey's | RSI 29.5, -1.1% on the day | +1.16% | Low | #94 of 496 | 60% | 5 |
| Sep 29 | CINF Cincinnati Financial | RSI 28.6, -0.5% on the day | +1.13% | Medium | #11 of 496 | 89% | 9 |
| Sep 29 | CPRT Copart | RSI 30.0, -0.3% on the day | +0.31% | Medium | #44 of 496 | 67% | 12 |
| Sep 29 | SNA Snap-on | RSI 29.7, -0.6% on the day | +0.16% | Low | #244 of 496 | 60% | 5 |
| Sep 29 | TTD | RSI 29.4, -2.4% on the day | -0.46% | Medium | #343 of 496 | 50% | 18 |
| Sep 28 | AWK American Water Works | RSI 28.7, -1.5% on the day | -0.26% | Medium | #459 of 496 | 43% | 14 |
| Sep 28 | BA Boeing | RSI 27.4, -6.9% on the day | -0.16% | Medium | #315 of 496 | 47% | 17 |
| Sep 28 | CBOE Cboe Global Markets | RSI 30.0, -1.9% on the day | +1.63% | Low | #177 of 496 | 50% | 4 |
| Sep 28 | DASH DoorDash | RSI 29.8, -7.7% on the day | +1.87% | Medium | #95 of 496 | 67% | 12 |
| Sep 28 | EIX Edison International | RSI 28.6, -2.2% on the day | -0.10% | Medium | #303 of 496 | 47% | 15 |
| Sep 28 | FDXF FedEx Freight | RSI 30.0, -0.8% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 28 | HSY Hershey Company (The) | RSI 29.9, -1.2% on the day | -0.18% | Medium | #433 of 496 | 46% | 13 |
| Sep 28 | MS Morgan Stanley | RSI 29.4, -1.4% on the day | +0.40% | Medium | #81 of 496 | 75% | 8 |
| Sep 28 | OPEN | RSI 29.0, -5.5% on the day | +0.07% | Medium | #264 of 496 | 50% | 16 |
| Sep 28 | SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation | RSI 29.8, -0.7% on the day | +0.70% | Medium | #122 of 496 | 64% | 11 |
| Sep 28 | SRE Sempra | RSI 28.8, -1.3% on the day | +0.65% | Medium | #89 of 496 | 60% | 10 |
| Sep 28 | TLT | RSI 28.8, -0.9% on the day | +0.37% | Medium | #66 of 496 | 58% | 12 |
| Sep 28 | VICI Vici Properties | RSI 29.3, -1.4% on the day | +0.46% | Medium | #37 of 496 | 79% | 14 |
| Sep 28 | XYL Xylem Inc. | RSI 27.5, -1.7% on the day | +0.02% | Medium | #293 of 496 | 53% | 15 |
Best after an RSI oversold reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIN Linde plc | +1.00%+0.8 to +1.4 | Medium | +0.66% | 82% | +0.61% | -3% · +3% | 11 |
| 2 | TRGP Targa Resources | +1.62%+1.6 to +2.5 | Low | +1.92% | 100% | +1.86% | +2% · +3% | 3 |
| 3 | TRV Travelers Companies (The) | +0.71%+0.6 to +1.2 | Low | +0.91% | 100% | +1.06% | 0% · +2% | 7 |
| 4 | PGR Progressive Corporation | +1.36%+0.8 to +1.7 | Low | +1.33% | 100% | +1.36% | +1% · +2% | 4 |
| 5 | JKHY Jack Henry & … | +0.90%+0.8 to +1.2 | Medium | +1.19% | 83% | +0.52% | -1% · +5% | 12 |
| 6 | GILD Gilead Sciences | +1.04%+0.2 to +1.2 | Medium | +0.84% | 89% | +1.00% | -2% · +4% | 9 |
| 7 | FDX FedEx | +1.56%+0.6 to +2.0 | Medium | +1.48% | 89% | +0.79% | -2% · +5% | 9 |
| 8 | WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | +1.47%+0.7 to +1.7 | Low | +1.18% | 100% | +1.74% | 0% · +2% | 7 |
| 9 | CMCSA Comcast | +1.23%+0.4 to +1.8 | Medium | +0.57% | 71% | +0.90% | -5% · +5% | 17 |
| 10 | ADM Archer Daniels Midland | +2.04%+1.2 to +2.4 | Medium | +1.96% | 82% | +0.81% | -2% · +6% | 11 |
| 11 | CINF Cincinnati Financial | +1.13%+0.4 to +1.8 | Medium | +1.04% | 89% | +0.37% | -1% · +3% | 9 |
| 12 | FAST Fastenal | +0.59%+0.3 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.42% | 80% | +1.08% | -1% · +1% | 10 |
| 13 | MCK McKesson Corporation | +0.83%+0.6 to +1.0 | Low | +0.79% | 80% | +0.94% | 0% · +2% | 5 |
| 14 | CB Chubb Limited | +1.57%+1.0 to +1.9 | Low | +1.25% | 86% | +1.21% | 0% · +3% | 7 |
| 15 | AMGN Amgen | +0.87%+0.5 to +1.1 | Medium | +0.69% | 82% | +0.82% | -2% · +4% | 11 |
| 16 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | +0.68%+0.4 to +0.8 | Medium | +0.61% | 80% | +0.49% | -3% · +4% | 10 |
| 17 | DTE DTE Energy | +0.63%+0.3 to +0.7 | Medium | +0.19% | 73% | +0.22% | -2% · +1% | 11 |
| 18 | BNY BNY Mellon | +1.14%+0.4 to +1.5 | Medium | +0.97% | 75% | +0.73% | -2% · +4% | 8 |
| 19 | INVH Invitation Homes | +1.04%+0.3 to +1.7 | Medium | +1.36% | 78% | +0.38% | -1% · +6% | 18 |
| 20 | NFLX Netflix | +1.31%+0.3 to +1.5 | Medium | +0.76% | 77% | +0.40% | -4% · +5% | 13 |
| 21 | JPM JPMorgan Chase | +1.58%-0.1 to +2.0 | Low | +1.07% | 71% | +0.05% | -1% · +2% | 7 |
| 22 | VST Vistra Corp. | +1.05%-0.1 to +1.3 | Low | +0.75% | 67% | -0.64% | 0% · +1% | 3 |
| 23 | TROW T. Rowe Price | +0.74%+0.4 to +0.9 | Medium | +0.50% | 79% | +0.92% | -4% · +3% | 14 |
| 24 | SYY Sysco | +0.53%+0.3 to +0.6 | Medium | +0.46% | 73% | +0.92% | -2% · +3% | 11 |
| 25 | IVZ Invesco | +1.27%0.0 to +1.9 | Medium | +1.21% | 70% | +0.32% | -1% · +3% | 10 |
Worst after an RSI oversold reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATO Atmos Energy | -1.27%-1.4 to -1.2 | Low | -1.40% | 0% | -1.14% | -3% · 0% | 5 |
| 2 | BR Broadridge Financial Solutions | -0.64%-1.2 to -0.5 | Medium | -0.75% | 8% | -0.83% | -2% · +1% | 12 |
| 3 | COO Cooper Companies (The) | -0.64%-0.8 to -0.3 | High | -0.68% | 27% | -0.46% | -15% · +5% | 22 |
| 4 | JBHT J.B. Hunt | -1.29%-1.6 to -0.9 | Medium | -1.14% | 22% | -0.58% | -2% · 0% | 9 |
| 5 | PLD Prologis | -1.54%-2.4 to -1.3 | Medium | -1.35% | 25% | -0.76% | -6% · +2% | 12 |
| 6 | WM Waste Management | -0.94%-1.7 to -0.8 | Medium | -0.84% | 25% | -0.22% | -3% · +2% | 8 |
| 7 | MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities | -0.43%-0.5 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.03% | 31% | -0.19% | -1% · +3% | 13 |
| 8 | PFG Principal Financial Group | -2.41%-3.1 to -1.8 | Low | -2.20% | 0% | -0.96% | -3% · 0% | 5 |
| 9 | LHX L3Harris | -0.52%-0.7 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.10% | 31% | -0.11% | -2% · +3% | 13 |
| 10 | DOW Dow Inc. | -0.47%-0.7 to -0.2 | Medium | -1.13% | 27% | -0.04% | -10% · +1% | 11 |
| 11 | MTD Mettler Toledo | -0.56%-0.8 to -0.2 | Medium | -0.74% | 23% | -0.33% | -7% · +3% | 13 |
| 12 | AOS A. O. Smith | -0.62%-0.9 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.48% | 23% | -0.65% | -4% · +4% | 13 |
| 13 | HD Home Depot (The) | -0.85%-1.4 to -0.6 | Medium | -0.85% | 25% | -0.47% | -4% · +2% | 12 |
| 14 | TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific | -0.58%-1.1 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.53% | 40% | -0.55% | -2% · +1% | 10 |
| 15 | PYPL PayPal | -0.79%-1.2 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.83% | 23% | -0.30% | -5% · +4% | 13 |
| 16 | PPL PPL Corporation | -0.87%-1.3 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.81% | 27% | -0.77% | -4% · +2% | 11 |
| 17 | MMM 3M | -0.76%-1.1 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.56% | 29% | +0.31% | -3% · +2% | 14 |
| 18 | VTR Ventas | -1.36%-1.7 to +0.2 | Medium | -1.17% | 33% | -1.14% | -4% · +1% | 9 |
| 19 | KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | -0.77%-1.0 to -0.4 | Low | -0.89% | 17% | -0.87% | -3% · 0% | 6 |
| 20 | SPGI S&P Global | -0.26%-0.4 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.07% | 36% | -0.11% | -3% · +3% | 14 |
| 21 | AZO AutoZone | -1.35%-2.2 to -1.1 | Low | -1.13% | 33% | -1.35% | -2% · 0% | 6 |
| 22 | TSN Tyson Foods | -0.37%-0.7 to -0.3 | Medium | -0.38% | 33% | -0.30% | -4% · +2% | 12 |
| 23 | ED Consolidated Edison | -0.15%-0.5 to +0.1 | Medium | +0.10% | 38% | +0.01% | -1% · +2% | 8 |
| 24 | BLK BlackRock | -0.26%-0.6 to +0.2 | Medium | -0.12% | 33% | -0.15% | -2% · +3% | 15 |
| 25 | AKAM Akamai Technologies | -1.19%-1.8 to +0.1 | Medium | -0.81% | 38% | +0.30% | -4% · +3% | 13 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next day from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.