Aftermath
After an RSI oversold reading, over the next week
The 14-day RSI falls below 30. Each stock's median gain after its own events of this kind in the past 5 years, from the close of the session the event was known. Updated .
The typical S&P 500 stock gained +0.65% over the next week after an RSI oversold reading (half of them between -0.33% and +1.73%), against +0.27% on any day.
Latest oversold readings, last few sessions
| Entry | Stock | Its median, 1 week | Confidence | Rank | Up | Events | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | APP AppLovin | RSI 28.4, -4.7% on the day | +3.03% | Medium | #177 of 496 | 55% | 11 |
| Oct 2 | FISV Fiserv | RSI 29.2, -2.2% on the day | +1.39% | Medium | #164 of 496 | 67% | 9 |
| Oct 2 | GPN Global Payments | RSI 29.6, -2.4% on the day | +1.23% | Medium | #118 of 496 | 71% | 14 |
| Oct 2 | IP International Paper | RSI 28.5, -1.7% on the day | +2.45% | Medium | #21 of 496 | 73% | 15 |
| Oct 2 | KKR KKR & Co. | RSI 29.6, -1.0% on the day | -0.53% | Medium | #341 of 496 | 40% | 10 |
| Oct 2 | MCO Moody's Corporation | RSI 30.0, -1.3% on the day | -1.49% | Medium | #364 of 496 | 38% | 8 |
| Oct 2 | NKE Nike, Inc. | RSI 28.5, -3.6% on the day | -2.03% | Medium | #482 of 496 | 33% | 18 |
| Oct 2 | REG Regency Centers | RSI 29.1, -0.3% on the day | +2.68% | Medium | #56 of 496 | 75% | 8 |
| Oct 2 | WEN | RSI 29.0, -2.1% on the day | +1.63% | Medium | #159 of 496 | 69% | 13 |
| Oct 1 | AFL Aflac | RSI 29.4, -0.5% on the day | +1.92% | Low | #131 of 496 | 67% | 6 |
| Oct 1 | CTVA Corteva | RSI 5.8, -83.8% on the day | +2.59% | Low | #34 of 496 | 83% | 6 |
| Oct 1 | GS Goldman Sachs | RSI 29.8, -0.4% on the day | +2.83% | Medium | #38 of 496 | 67% | 9 |
| Oct 1 | KMB Kimberly-Clark | RSI 28.7, -3.2% on the day | +0.14% | Medium | #445 of 496 | 58% | 12 |
| Oct 1 | RSG Republic Services | RSI 29.3, -1.4% on the day | -0.13% | Low | #408 of 496 | 50% | 4 |
| Oct 1 | VTR Ventas | RSI 26.3, -1.5% on the day | -1.57% | Medium | #453 of 496 | 25% | 8 |
| Sep 30 | ABT Abbott Laboratories | RSI 29.9, -2.1% on the day | +0.32% | Medium | #318 of 496 | 56% | 16 |
| Sep 30 | APO Apollo Global Management | RSI 29.6, -2.5% on the day | +2.52% | Medium | #165 of 496 | 67% | 12 |
| Sep 30 | CB Chubb Limited | RSI 29.8, -2.1% on the day | +3.49% | Low | #25 of 496 | 83% | 6 |
| Sep 30 | F Ford Motor Company | RSI 29.0, -1.9% on the day | -0.84% | Medium | #352 of 496 | 40% | 10 |
| Sep 30 | KHC Kraft Heinz | RSI 28.2, -3.1% on the day | +2.08% | Medium | #27 of 496 | 73% | 11 |
| Sep 30 | LQDA | RSI 20.2, -57.2% on the day | +10.31% | Low | #60 of 496 | 100% | 4 |
| Sep 30 | NAMM | RSI 28.3, -4.7% on the day | -3.38% | Low | #325 of 496 | 20% | 5 |
| Sep 30 | NOC Northrop Grumman | RSI 26.8, -4.2% on the day | +2.60% | Medium | #130 of 496 | 62% | 8 |
| Sep 30 | OKE Oneok | RSI 28.3, -1.8% on the day | -0.02% | Low | #309 of 496 | 43% | 7 |
| Sep 30 | PEG Public Service Enterprise … | RSI 29.8, -0.5% on the day | +0.42% | Medium | #348 of 496 | 56% | 9 |
| Sep 30 | PLD Prologis | RSI 30.0, -2.1% on the day | -3.31% | Medium | #377 of 496 | 45% | 11 |
| Sep 30 | SO Southern Company | RSI 28.5, -0.7% on the day | +0.39% | Low | #354 of 496 | 57% | 7 |
| Sep 30 | UDR UDR, Inc. | RSI 27.0, -1.2% on the day | +1.97% | Medium | #112 of 496 | 53% | 15 |
| Sep 29 | CASY Casey's | RSI 29.5, -1.1% on the day | +1.66% | Low | #201 of 496 | 75% | 4 |
| Sep 29 | CINF Cincinnati Financial | RSI 28.6, -0.5% on the day | +3.33% | Medium | #1 of 496 | 100% | 8 |
| Sep 29 | CPRT Copart | RSI 30.0, -0.3% on the day | +0.13% | Medium | #314 of 496 | 55% | 11 |
| Sep 29 | SNA Snap-on | RSI 29.7, -0.6% on the day | +2.16% | Low | #70 of 496 | 75% | 4 |
| Sep 29 | TTD | RSI 29.4, -2.4% on the day | +0.73% | Medium | #242 of 496 | 59% | 17 |
| Sep 28 | AWK American Water Works | RSI 28.7, -1.5% on the day | +0.45% | Medium | #345 of 496 | 62% | 13 |
| Sep 28 | BA Boeing | RSI 27.4, -6.9% on the day | -1.72% | Medium | #436 of 496 | 44% | 16 |
| Sep 28 | CBOE Cboe Global Markets | RSI 30.0, -1.9% on the day | +4.48% | Low | #122 of 496 | 67% | 3 |
| Sep 28 | DASH DoorDash | RSI 29.8, -7.7% on the day | +4.52% | Medium | #8 of 496 | 73% | 11 |
| Sep 28 | EIX Edison International | RSI 28.6, -2.2% on the day | +0.24% | Medium | #395 of 496 | 57% | 14 |
| Sep 28 | FDXF FedEx Freight | RSI 30.0, -0.8% on the day | — | — | |||
| Sep 28 | HSY Hershey Company (The) | RSI 29.9, -1.2% on the day | -1.40% | Medium | #495 of 496 | 25% | 12 |
| Sep 28 | MS Morgan Stanley | RSI 29.4, -1.4% on the day | +2.70% | Low | #151 of 496 | 57% | 7 |
| Sep 28 | OPEN | RSI 29.0, -5.5% on the day | +4.62% | Medium | #77 of 496 | 87% | 15 |
| Sep 28 | SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation | RSI 29.8, -0.7% on the day | +1.91% | Medium | #162 of 496 | 70% | 10 |
| Sep 28 | SRE Sempra | RSI 28.8, -1.3% on the day | +1.49% | Medium | #26 of 496 | 78% | 9 |
| Sep 28 | TLT | RSI 28.8, -0.9% on the day | +0.78% | Medium | #223 of 496 | 64% | 11 |
| Sep 28 | VICI Vici Properties | RSI 29.3, -1.4% on the day | +0.90% | Medium | #154 of 496 | 69% | 13 |
| Sep 28 | XYL Xylem Inc. | RSI 27.5, -1.7% on the day | +1.10% | Medium | #132 of 496 | 64% | 14 |
Best after an RSI oversold reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CINF Cincinnati Financial | +3.33%+2.2 to +3.5 | Medium | +3.21% | 100% | -0.30% | +2% · +5% | 8 |
| 2 | EG Everest Group | +4.08%+3.2 to +4.2 | Low | +4.31% | 100% | +3.38% | +1% · +8% | 6 |
| 3 | INVH Invitation Homes | +2.97%+1.8 to +3.4 | Medium | +2.69% | 78% | +0.58% | -3% · +8% | 18 |
| 4 | BBY Best Buy | +3.92%+3.1 to +4.6 | Medium | +3.95% | 82% | +1.02% | -4% · +14% | 11 |
| 5 | HST Host Hotels & … | +2.46%+1.6 to +3.0 | Medium | +2.34% | 91% | +0.48% | -4% · +6% | 11 |
| 6 | FCX Freeport-McMoRan | +2.39%+1.2 to +2.8 | Medium | +2.74% | 73% | +1.01% | -3% · +14% | 11 |
| 7 | PH Parker Hannifin | +5.23%+4.8 to +7.3 | Low | +4.63% | 86% | +3.04% | -1% · +9% | 7 |
| 8 | DASH DoorDash | +4.52%+1.6 to +4.8 | Medium | +2.04% | 73% | +0.53% | -12% · +6% | 11 |
| 9 | VXUS meme | +1.90%-0.1 to +2.4 | Medium | +1.63% | 75% | +1.02% | -2% · +4% | 8 |
| 10 | GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class … | +4.24%+2.4 to +6.6 | Medium | +4.89% | 100% | +2.55% | +1% · +13% | 9 |
| 11 | ADBE Adobe Inc. | +1.95%+1.4 to +2.7 | Medium | +1.50% | 63% | -0.09% | -5% · +8% | 19 |
| 12 | UNP Union Pacific Corporation | +1.83%-0.5 to +2.2 | Medium | +0.88% | 75% | +0.84% | -4% · +2% | 8 |
| 13 | ADM Archer Daniels Midland | +3.02%+0.8 to +3.8 | Medium | +3.08% | 73% | +1.69% | -3% · +10% | 11 |
| 14 | TRV Travelers Companies (The) | +3.26%+0.8 to +4.3 | Low | +2.65% | 86% | +0.39% | -1% · +7% | 7 |
| 15 | IBKR Interactive Brokers | +4.07%+0.3 to +5.4 | Medium | +4.22% | 80% | +3.87% | -5% · +17% | 10 |
| 16 | INTU Intuit | +2.21%+1.0 to +3.3 | Medium | +2.36% | 83% | +1.56% | -3% · +8% | 12 |
| 17 | ZTS Zoetis | +2.29%+1.2 to +3.1 | Medium | +1.00% | 72% | +1.02% | -14% · +9% | 18 |
| 18 | GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class … | +4.47%+2.3 to +7.0 | Medium | +4.95% | 100% | +2.59% | +1% · +13% | 9 |
| 19 | ALLE Allegion | +2.56%+0.4 to +3.4 | Medium | +2.63% | 90% | +2.14% | -1% · +7% | 10 |
| 20 | VST Vistra Corp. | +4.18%+3.1 to +8.0 | Low | +5.12% | 100% | +6.86% | +3% · +8% | 3 |
| 21 | LIN Linde plc | +2.44%+1.1 to +4.3 | Medium | +2.36% | 82% | -0.56% | -3% · +8% | 11 |
| 22 | IP International Paper | +2.45%+1.1 to +3.4 | Medium | +1.60% | 73% | +0.59% | -6% · +9% | 15 |
| 23 | SYK Stryker Corporation | +1.51%+0.8 to +2.7 | Medium | +0.76% | 82% | +1.70% | -6% · +3% | 11 |
| 24 | AIZ Assurant | +2.15%+1.3 to +3.6 | Medium | +1.79% | 88% | +2.45% | -7% · +6% | 8 |
| 25 | MA Mastercard | +3.38%-1.2 to +4.2 | Medium | +2.25% | 75% | +0.03% | -5% · +5% | 8 |
Worst after an RSI oversold reading
| # | Stock | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Average | Up | vs SPY | Worst · best | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HD Home Depot (The) | -1.68%-2.3 to -1.1 | Medium | -1.43% | 25% | +0.04% | -5% · +2% | 12 |
| 2 | HSY Hershey Company (The) | -1.40%-2.1 to -1.1 | Medium | -0.12% | 25% | -0.58% | -2% · +9% | 12 |
| 3 | NTRS Northern Trust | -2.86%-3.8 to -0.3 | Low | -2.04% | 14% | -2.54% | -4% · +2% | 7 |
| 4 | AZO AutoZone | -2.28%-3.1 to 0.0 | Low | -1.26% | 17% | -2.57% | -3% · +4% | 6 |
| 5 | MRNA Moderna | -6.76%-7.6 to -4.3 | Medium | -6.17% | 8% | -5.32% | -19% · +4% | 12 |
| 6 | ATO Atmos Energy | -1.93%-2.5 to -1.4 | Low | -1.77% | 20% | -1.89% | -4% · +1% | 5 |
| 7 | ACN Accenture | -1.05%-1.8 to -0.6 | Medium | -0.64% | 36% | +0.19% | -10% · +12% | 14 |
| 8 | BG Bunge Global | -1.25%-3.2 to -0.9 | Medium | -1.94% | 10% | -2.45% | -7% · 0% | 10 |
| 9 | KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | -1.78%-2.9 to -1.4 | Low | -1.16% | 17% | -1.69% | -3% · +3% | 6 |
| 10 | WY Weyerhaeuser | -0.91%-1.6 to 0.0 | Medium | -0.67% | 33% | -1.35% | -5% · +5% | 12 |
| 11 | DUK Duke Energy | -0.92%-1.6 to -0.1 | Medium | -0.40% | 25% | -0.90% | -4% · +3% | 8 |
| 12 | XEL Xcel Energy | -1.98%-2.8 to -0.3 | Medium | -1.81% | 11% | -0.29% | -5% · +2% | 9 |
| 13 | PPL PPL Corporation | -1.80%-2.2 to -0.6 | Medium | -1.32% | 27% | -1.95% | -5% · +2% | 11 |
| 14 | CMI Cummins | -0.58%-1.3 to -0.5 | Low | -1.12% | 29% | -2.35% | -5% · +1% | 7 |
| 15 | NKE Nike, Inc. | -2.03%-3.0 to -0.3 | Medium | -1.24% | 33% | -2.00% | -15% · +8% | 18 |
| 16 | LULU Lululemon Athletica | -2.81%-4.5 to -2.0 | Medium | -1.38% | 31% | -3.21% | -10% · +13% | 16 |
| 17 | IEX IDEX Corporation | -0.81%-2.0 to -0.4 | Medium | -0.54% | 33% | +0.90% | -3% · +3% | 12 |
| 18 | GIS General Mills | -0.69%-1.2 to +0.5 | Medium | -0.76% | 47% | -0.60% | -8% · +6% | 15 |
| 19 | DLTR Dollar Tree | -1.32%-2.2 to +0.3 | Medium | -1.54% | 38% | -1.93% | -22% · +8% | 16 |
| 20 | CIEN Ciena | -2.53%-4.5 to -1.7 | Low | -2.62% | 14% | -2.61% | -9% · +2% | 7 |
| 21 | MDLZ Mondelez International | -0.22%-0.6 to +0.6 | Medium | +0.72% | 42% | -0.61% | -6% · +11% | 12 |
| 22 | ZBRA Zebra Technologies | -4.85%-5.3 to -3.7 | Medium | -2.45% | 31% | -2.30% | -8% · +7% | 13 |
| 23 | DOW Dow Inc. | -2.18%-3.6 to -1.5 | Medium | -2.64% | 27% | -2.65% | -13% · +10% | 11 |
| 24 | IOVA meme | -5.17%-6.6 to -4.4 | Medium | -4.20% | 31% | -5.56% | -16% · +9% | 13 |
| 25 | CMS CMS Energy | -2.50%-3.9 to -1.9 | Low | -2.10% | 20% | -4.73% | -4% · +2% | 5 |
Stocks with at least 3 independent periods, ordered on an evidence-weighted median: each stock's median is pulled toward the S&P 500 typical value in proportion to its uncertainty, so a lucky handful of events cannot top the list. Confidence counts independent holding periods (overlapping ones count once): High 20+, Medium 8+, Low 3+. Median and average gain over the next week from the entry close; Up = share of events followed by a gain; vs SPY = median gain minus SPY over the same sessions. Ranks on the stock pages place each stock among the S&P 500 stocks. Small samples are noisy, and the past does not repeat on schedule. Not advice.