AA

Moving with the market

• AA +0.12% on the last session vs SPY −0.04%: +0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
• Earnings today after the close: EPS $1.51 expected (10 analysts); it moved ±5.6% on average after its last 8 reports.
• Aftermath, rsi oversold (Oct 14): After its 11 oversold readings in the past 5 years, AA was higher a month later 7 times out of 11; half the outcomes fell between -3.8% and +8.6%. History, not a forecast.
• 2 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 67% positive over the week.
• 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 2 negative); latest: Morgan Stanley maintained Equal-Weight, lowered target $53.00 → $50.00.
• Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
• Activity: volume on pace for 1.5× its 20-day average.