ABT
Moving with its group (XLV +2.5%)
- ABT +1.44% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: +1.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Wed before the open: EPS $1.41 expected (23 analysts); it moved ±5.4% on average after its last 8 reports.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.5% (+2.4 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 13): After its 12 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, ABT was higher a week later 4 times out of 12; half the outcomes fell between -2.3% and +0.6%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 0 negative); latest: Barclays started coverage at Overweight, target $120.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ABT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
104.39 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
106.17 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 104.45 · prior close 102.97 | |
| Bargain buy side |
101.57 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
99.87 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 101.12 | 2 in 10 days | 104.85 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 101.57 | 3 in 10 days | 104.39 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 101.99 | 4 in 10 days | 103.96 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 98.88 | 2 in 10 weeks | 107.23 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 99.87 | 3 in 10 weeks | 106.17 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 100.80 | 4 in 10 weeks | 105.19 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ABT's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among ABT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Mar 3, 2025 |
135.81 +30.0% |
| Highest analyst target | 135.00 +29.2% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 14, 2025 |
130.26 +24.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 120.72 +15.6% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 106.17 +1.6% |
| 50-day average | 105.93 +1.4% |
| Now | 104.45 |
| Lowest analyst target | 103.00 -1.4% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
102.97 -1.4% |
| 200-day average | 102.14 -2.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 99.87 -4.4% |
| 52-week closing low May 11, 2026 |
81.98 -21.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.