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ACT

R500#272 today EARNINGSWed AMC
$47.44 +0.54% today · -1.77% 1W
Nov 2 close or latest
Why it's movingMoving with the marketReadout ›

Bargain & stretch prices

Prices ACT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.

TodayNext 5 sessionsToday so far
TodayNext 5 sessions
Stretch
sell side
47.93
+1.6%
↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28%
48.88
+3.6%
↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30%
Now47.44 · prior close 47.18
Bargain
buy side
46.44
-1.6%
reached 3 in 10 days
45.54
-3.5%
reached 3 in 10 weeks

More patient or more eager

BargainReachedStretchReached
Today
Patient46.202 in 10 days 48.182 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17%
Balanced46.443 in 10 days 47.933 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28%
Eager46.664 in 10 days 47.705 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45%
Next 5 sessions
Patient45.012 in 10 weeks 49.452 in 10 weeks
Balanced45.543 in 10 weeks 48.883 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30%
Eager46.034 in 10 weeks 48.365 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48%

"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ACT's daily swings (about 1.6% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.

Situations on the Oct 30 close

Big drop odds adjusted
After a big drop, the stretch price was reached more often than usual, so the bargain & stretch odds above are adjusted (marked in gold):
  • Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
  • Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
ACT's past 62 times in 5 years: a month later, up 40 of 60, typical +2.2%.
DateThat day1 week on1 month on3 months on
Oct 21, 2026-2.6%+4.6% ——
Oct 12, 2026-2.3%+2.9% ——
Sep 30, 2026-6.8%+5.9% +11.1%—
Aug 31, 2026-1.8%+2.3% -10.2%—
Jul 30, 2026-1.8%+2.5% +3.8%+1.1%
Jul 21, 2026-1.9%+5.4% +9.2%+2.0%
May 19, 2026-2.7%-0.5% -0.5%+16.7%
May 11, 2026-2.7%+2.8% -0.1%+15.3%

Big drop and big gain: among ACT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.

Price ladder

All-time and 52-week closing high
Sep 14, 2026
50.07
+5.6%
Stretch, next 5 sessions 48.88
+3.1%
50-day average 47.51
+0.2%
Now 47.44
Previous close
Oct 30, 2026
47.18
-0.5%
Bargain, next 5 sessions 45.54
-4.0%
200-day average 44.09
-7.1%
52-week closing low
Oct 30, 2025
34.76
-26.7%

Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.