ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. · Technology · Software - Application
TECHSellZACKSHold
R500#483 today
$257.68
-2.38% today · -2.27% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- ADP −2.38% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −3.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big drop (Oct 2): After its 68 big drops in the past 5 years, ADP typically gained 0.9% over the next week (median) and was higher 60% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -0.8% and +2.7%. An ordinary week: +0.3%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big drops, that ranks #62 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 28
Before the open · in 24 days
EPS estimate
$2.76
$2.67 to $2.92 · 15 analysts
Revenue estimate
$5.5B
$5.4B to $5.5B
Track record
8/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±3.0% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 AMC | 4Q2026 | $2.60 | $2.64 | +$0.04 (+1.6%) beat | $5.5B | +3.5% +5.0 vs SPY | +0.3% | +2.4% |
| Apr 29, 2026 BMO | 3Q2026 | $3.30 | $3.37 | +$0.07 (+2.3%) beat | $5.9B | +8.0% +8.0 vs SPY | +4.3% | +5.7% |
| Jan 28, 2026 BMO | 2Q2026 | $2.57 | $2.62 | +$0.05 (+2.0%) beat | $5.4B | -1.5% -1.5 vs SPY | -1.9% | -7.6% |
| Oct 29, 2025 BMO | 1Q2026 | $2.44 | $2.49 | +$0.05 (+1.9%) beat | $5.2B | -6.6% -6.6 vs SPY | -3.0% | -7.3% |
| Jul 30, 2025 BMO | $2.23 | $2.26 | +$0.03 (+1.3%) beat | — | +0.8% +0.9 vs SPY | -3.0% | -3.0% | |
| Apr 30, 2025 BMO | $2.97 | $3.06 | +$0.09 (+3.0%) beat | — | +1.6% +1.6 vs SPY | -1.7% | +2.6% | |
| Jan 29, 2025 BMO | $2.30 | $2.35 | +$0.05 (+2.2%) beat | — | +0.8% +1.2 vs SPY | +1.9% | +2.1% | |
| Oct 30, 2024 BMO | $2.21 | $2.33 | +$0.12 (+5.4%) beat | — | +1.7% +2.0 vs SPY | -0.6% | +1.1% | |
| Jul 31, 2024 BMO | $2.06 | $2.09 | +$0.03 (+1.5%) beat | — | +1.9% +0.3 vs SPY | +0.9% | +0.7% | |
| May 1, 2024 BMO | $2.78 | $2.88 | +$0.10 (+3.6%) beat | — | +2.2% +2.6 vs SPY | +3.2% | +1.3% | |
| Jan 31, 2024 BMO | $2.10 | $2.13 | +$0.03 (+1.4%) beat | — | +3.0% +4.6 vs SPY | +3.3% | +5.1% | |
| Oct 25, 2023 BMO | $2.02 | $2.08 | +$0.06 (+3.0%) beat | — | -9.2% -7.8 vs SPY | -4.5% | -9.2% | |
| Jul 26, 2023 BMO | $1.83 | $1.89 | +$0.06 (+3.3%) beat | — | +5.4% +5.4 vs SPY | +1.5% | +3.3% | |
| Apr 26, 2023 BMO | $2.45 | $2.52 | +$0.07 (+2.9%) beat | — | -0.4% 0.0 vs SPY | -4.0% | +2.3% | |
| Jan 25, 2023 BMO | $1.94 | $1.96 | +$0.02 (+1.0%) beat | — | -4.7% -4.7 vs SPY | -2.0% | -5.6% | |
| Oct 26, 2022 BMO | $1.79 | $1.86 | +$0.07 (+3.9%) beat | — | -1.1% -0.3 vs SPY | +3.5% | +2.5% | |
| Jul 27, 2022 BMO | $1.47 | $1.50 | +$0.03 (+2.0%) beat | — | +7.4% +4.8 vs SPY | +0.9% | +10.4% | |
| Apr 27, 2022 BMO | $2.08 | $2.21 | +$0.13 (+6.2%) beat | — | +2.6% +2.3 vs SPY | +1.2% | -0.3% | |
| Jan 26, 2022 BMO | $1.63 | $1.65 | +$0.02 (+1.2%) beat | — | -8.9% -8.7 vs SPY | -5.2% | -5.2% | |
| Oct 27, 2021 BMO | $1.49 | $1.65 | +$0.16 (+10.7%) beat | — | +1.4% +1.9 vs SPY | +2.0% | +2.9% | |
| Jul 28, 2021 BMO | $1.14 | $1.20 | +$0.06 (+5.3%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 28, 2021 BMO | $1.78 | $1.89 | +$0.11 (+6.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Jan 27, 2021 BMO | $1.29 | $1.52 | +$0.23 (+17.8%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 28, 2020 BMO | $0.98 | $1.41 | +$0.43 (+43.9%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $2.76 (15) | $2.67 – $2.92 | +11% | +0.4% | ▲0 ▼1 | $5.5B | +6% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $2.92 (15) | $2.84 – $3.00 | +11% | -0.1% | ▲8 ▼3 | $5.7B | +6% |
| Current year · Jun 30, 2027 | $12.26 (18) | $12.11 – $12.39 | +10% | +0.5% | ▲1 ▼0 | $23.2B | +6% |
| Next year · Jun 30, 2028 | $13.40 (18) | $13.00 – $13.66 | +9% | +0.6% | ▲7 ▼5 | $24.6B | +6% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.