ADT
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- ADT +4.32% on the last session vs SPY +0.13%: +4.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own ADT in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Oct 23, 2024 | Oct 24, 2024 | +17.6% | #52 | Feb 27, 2026 | Mar 2, 2026 | -11.2% | #131 |
| one week | Oct 17, 2024 | Oct 24, 2024 | +16.0% | #194 | Feb 27, 2026 | Mar 6, 2026 | -18.3% | #96 |
| one month | Jun 30, 2026 | Jul 31, 2026 | +17.5% | #359 | Feb 9, 2026 | Mar 9, 2026 | -19.5% | #202 |
| 3 months | Jan 2, 2025 | Apr 2, 2025 | +20.9% | #398 | Dec 12, 2025 | Mar 12, 2026 | -21.2% | #245 |
| 6 months | Jan 10, 2025 | Jul 10, 2025 | +26.2% | #359 | Sep 12, 2025 | Mar 12, 2026 | -26.6% | #143 |
| one year | Oct 15, 2024 | Sep 11, 2025 | +32.7% | #314 | Sep 30, 2025 | Sep 30, 2026 | -28.0% | #139 |
Rank #194 for the best one week means 193 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+4.3% | +5.9% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +0.2% | -17.4% |
| Best one single day Oct 23, 2024 |
-0.6% | -1.1% | -5.2% | -10.8% | +10.5% | +17.0% |
| Best one week Oct 17, 2024 |
+0.3% | +4.6% | -2.1% | -8.6% | +15.4% | +11.0% |
| Best one month Jun 30, 2026 |
0.0% | -0.9% | -2.3% | +1.3% | -17.9% | -20.9% |
| Best 3 months Jan 2, 2025 |
+1.0% | 0.0% | -7.8% | -1.1% | -3.9% | +2.7% |
| Best 6 months Jan 10, 2025 |
-2.3% | -3.0% | -5.6% | +3.2% | -3.2% | +8.7% |
| Best one year Oct 15, 2024 |
-0.1% | -2.3% | -2.0% | -7.2% | +11.8% | +8.7% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.