ADUS
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ADUS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
127.20 +1.3% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
129.27 +3.0% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 123.66 · prior close 125.54 | |
| Bargain buy side |
123.91 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
121.92 -2.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 123.38 | 2 in 10 days | 127.74 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 123.91 | 3 in 10 days | 127.20 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 124.40 | 4 in 10 days | 126.69 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 120.76 | 2 in 10 weeks | 130.51 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 121.92 | 3 in 10 weeks | 129.27 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 123.00 | 4 in 10 weeks | 128.13 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ADUS's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | +1.8% | — | — | — |
| Jan 17, 2025 | +0.4% | -0.8% | -15.4% | -27.3% |
| Aug 13, 2024 | +2.6% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | +0.9% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +5.4% |
| Jun 10, 2024 | +2.0% | +0.8% | +2.6% | +8.8% |
| May 7, 2024 | +6.8% | +5.0% | +11.0% | +16.9% |
| Apr 20, 2023 | +3.1% | +1.1% | -21.4% | -18.8% |
| Dec 2, 2022 | +1.9% | -8.3% | -10.0% | -8.0% |
Big drop and big gain: among ADUS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 21, 2025 |
135.92 +9.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 129.27 +4.5% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 30, 2026 |
125.54 +1.5% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
125.54 +1.5% |
| Now | 123.66 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 121.92 -1.4% |
| 50-day average | 117.06 -5.3% |
| 200-day average | 106.42 -13.9% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 3, 2026 |
88.49 -28.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 17 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.