AGIO
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AGIO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
32.28 +5.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
34.55 +13.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 30.55 | |
| Bargain buy side |
28.91 -5.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
27.01 -11.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 28.40 | 2 in 10 days | 32.86 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 28.91 | 3 in 10 days | 32.28 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 29.40 | 4 in 10 days | 31.74 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 25.96 | 2 in 10 weeks | 35.96 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 27.01 | 3 in 10 weeks | 34.55 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 28.04 | 4 in 10 weeks | 33.29 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AGIO's daily swings (about 5.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | -3.8% | -1.3% | +12.5% | — |
| Aug 20, 2026 | -4.2% | +1.9% | +1.0% | — |
| Jul 30, 2026 | -6.5% | -2.4% | +1.7% | +16.4% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | -6.7% | -3.7% | -6.0% | -6.6% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | -3.6% | -3.9% | -21.0% | -22.6% |
| May 29, 2026 | -3.4% | -3.8% | +26.2% | +13.3% |
| Apr 20, 2026 | -23.0% | -9.8% | +2.4% | +38.0% |
| Apr 8, 2026 | -3.8% | +2.0% | -18.5% | +26.7% |
Big drop and big gain: among AGIO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 14, 2015 |
135.01 +341.9% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 18, 2025 |
45.49 +48.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 34.55 +13.1% |
| 50-day average | 33.62 +10.1% |
| 200-day average | 31.70 +3.8% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
30.55 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 27.01 -11.6% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 19, 2025 |
22.34 -26.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.