AMCR
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AMCR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
48.04 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
48.87 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 47.39 | |
| Bargain buy side |
46.74 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
45.96 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 46.54 | 2 in 10 days | 48.26 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 46.74 | 3 in 10 days | 48.04 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 46.94 | 4 in 10 days | 47.85 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 45.50 | 2 in 10 weeks | 49.35 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 45.96 | 3 in 10 weeks | 48.87 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 46.39 | 4 in 10 weeks | 48.41 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AMCR's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among AMCR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 60.00 +26.6% |
| All-time closing high Jun 6, 2022 |
54.08 +14.1% |
| Mean analyst target | 50.07 +5.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 48.87 +3.1% |
| 52-week closing high Feb 23, 2026 |
48.41 +2.2% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
47.39 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 45.96 -3.0% |
| 50-day average | 43.89 -7.4% |
| 200-day average | 42.11 -11.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 42.00 -11.4% |
| 52-week closing low May 15, 2026 |
35.58 -24.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 14 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.