AMLX
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AMLX only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
29.94 +3.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
31.33 +8.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 28.31 · prior close 28.86 | |
| Bargain buy side |
27.82 -3.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
26.58 -7.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 27.49 | 2 in 10 days | 30.30 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 27.82 | 3 in 10 days | 29.94 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 28.13 | 4 in 10 days | 29.61 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 25.88 | 2 in 10 weeks | 32.18 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 26.58 | 3 in 10 weeks | 31.33 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 27.25 | 4 in 10 weeks | 30.56 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AMLX's daily swings (about 3.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among AMLX's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jan 27, 2023 |
40.93 +44.6% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 20, 2026 |
39.66 +40.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 31.33 +10.7% |
| 50-day average | 30.69 +8.4% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
28.86 +1.9% |
| Now | 28.31 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 26.58 -6.1% |
| 200-day average | 20.15 -28.8% |
| 52-week closing low Jan 6, 2026 |
11.38 -59.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.