ASHR
Moving with the market
- ASHR +0.05% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: +0.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ASHR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
31.66 +1.0% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
32.04 +2.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 31.38 · prior close 31.36 | |
| Bargain buy side |
31.06 -1.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
30.69 -2.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 30.96 | 2 in 10 days | 31.76 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 31.06 | 3 in 10 days | 31.66 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 31.15 | 4 in 10 days | 31.57 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 30.48 | 2 in 10 weeks | 32.27 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 30.69 | 3 in 10 weeks | 32.04 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 30.89 | 4 in 10 weeks | 31.83 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ASHR's daily swings (about 1.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | -1.7% | -2.7% | — | — |
| Aug 19, 2026 | -1.8% | -0.1% | -1.5% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -2.4% | +1.2% | +0.8% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | -2.5% | -1.5% | +0.5% | -6.1% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -3.2% | +0.6% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -3.3% | +1.7% | -3.5% | -5.2% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | -1.4% | -2.7% | +2.4% | -3.2% |
| May 15, 2026 | -1.9% | -0.3% | +1.4% | -0.8% |
Big drop and big gain: among ASHR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Feb 17, 2021 |
42.87 +36.6% |
| 52-week closing high Jun 22, 2026 |
37.30 +18.9% |
| 200-day average | 34.23 +9.1% |
| 50-day average | 33.64 +7.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 32.04 +2.1% |
| Now | 31.38 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
31.36 0.0% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 21, 2025 |
31.06 -1.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 30.69 -2.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 13 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.