ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment
$50.97
-10.48% today · -12.81% 1W
Oct 9 close or latest
ReadoutWhy it's moving
Down on SpaceX spectrum deal closing
- ASTS −10.48% on the last session vs SPY +0.60%: −11.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: 247wallst.com reported SpaceX locked up low-band spectrum ASTS had been pursuing, raising questions about direct-to-device satellite connectivity. (247wallst.com)
- More than its group: its space peers -0.7% (-1.3 pts vs SPY).
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (307 mentions vs 24.4/day the week before): After its 54 mention spikes in the past 5 years, ASTS typically lost 1.1% over the next week (median) and was higher only 46% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -6.2% and +7.6%. An ordinary week: -0.2%. Among S&P 500 stocks after mention spikes, that ranks #74 of 92.
- 351 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 72% positive over the week · today's pace is 12.6× its recent daily average.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: B. Riley Securities downgraded to Neutral, lowered target $85.00 → $65.00.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days, including 1 insider sale not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Wed): Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026; S&P futures +0.03%, 10-year yield -1bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume 4.9× its 20-day average.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals and the session's headlines and filings read by AI (Claude); it can misread, so the sources are linked.
Next report
Nov 9
In 31 days
EPS estimate
−$0.44
−$0.52 to −$0.32 · 6 analysts
Revenue estimate
$46.5M
$40.0M to $50.0M
Track record
2/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±6.9% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | −$0.33 | −$0.77 | −$0.44 (<−100%) miss | $31.5M | +4.2% +4.5 vs SPY | +1.4% | +3.5% |
| May 11, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | −$0.20 | −$0.66 | −$0.46 (<−100%) miss | $14.7M | -11.6% -11.5 vs SPY | -11.1% | +5.2% |
| Mar 2, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | −$0.20 | −$0.26 | −$0.06 (−30.0%) miss | $54.3M | +6.6% +7.5 vs SPY | +1.2% | +3.3% |
| Nov 10, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | −$0.26 | −$0.45 | −$0.19 (−74.4%) miss | $14.7M | -1.2% -1.4 vs SPY | -1.2% | -17.6% |
| Aug 11, 2025 AMC | −$0.22 | −$0.41 | −$0.19 (−86.4%) miss | — | +8.4% +7.3 vs SPY | +11.6% | +4.9% | |
| May 12, 2025 AMC | −$0.22 | −$0.20 | +$0.02 (+9.1%) beat | — | -2.2% -2.9 vs SPY | -4.7% | -9.4% | |
| Mar 3, 2025 AMC | −$0.18 | −$0.12 | +$0.06 (+33.3%) beat | — | +11.7% +12.8 vs SPY | -4.3% | +13.7% | |
| Nov 14, 2024 AMC | −$0.20 | −$1.10 | −$0.90 (<−100%) miss | — | -9.6% -8.3 vs SPY | -13.5% | -9.9% | |
| Aug 14, 2024 AMC | −$0.22 | −$0.51 | −$0.29 (<−100%) miss | — | +50.7% +49.0 vs SPY | +4.8% | +75.1% | |
| May 15, 2024 AMC | −$0.21 | −$0.16 | +$0.05 (+23.8%) beat | — | +68.6% +68.8 vs SPY | +31.4% | +94.8% | |
| Apr 1, 2024 AMC | −$0.24 | −$0.37 | −$0.13 (−54.2%) miss | — | -23.6% -22.9 vs SPY | -11.0% | -13.7% | |
| Nov 14, 2023 AMC | −$0.19 | −$0.23 | −$0.04 (−21.1%) miss | — | +23.6% +23.4 vs SPY | +9.0% | +14.3% | |
| Aug 14, 2023 AMC | −$0.16 | −$0.24 | −$0.08 (−50.0%) miss | — | -15.7% -14.5 vs SPY | +3.9% | -10.8% | |
| May 15, 2023 AMC | −$0.49 | −$0.23 | +$0.26 (+53.1%) beat | — | -0.8% -0.1 vs SPY | +0.6% | +14.7% | |
| Mar 31, 2023 BMO | −$0.19 | −$0.14 | +$0.05 (+26.3%) beat | — | -20.9% -22.3 vs SPY | -23.8% | -32.1% | |
| Mar 31, 2022 AMC | −$0.09 | −$0.41 | −$0.32 miss | — | +6.1% +5.8 vs SPY | +1.0% | +3.1% | |
| Nov 15, 2021 AMC | −$1.03 | −$0.68 | +$0.35 (+34.0%) beat | — | -0.4% -0.8 vs SPY | -5.6% | -8.0% | |
| Aug 16, 2021 AMC | −$1.03 | $0.42 | +$1.45 (>+100%) beat | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | −$0.45 (6) | −$0.52 – −$0.32 | +1% | +46.8% | ▲0 ▼4 | $46.5M | +216% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | −$0.43 (6) | −$0.54 – −$0.29 | -66% | +39.1% | ▲0 ▼4 | $72.6M | +34% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | −$2.28 (8) | −$2.49 – −$2.04 | -70% | +51.7% | ▲0 ▼4 | $168.8M | +138% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | −$1.19 (9) | −$1.98 – $0.65 | +48% | +84.3% | ▲1 ▼2 | $607.6M | +260% |
Consensus as of Oct 9, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.