ATAT
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ATAT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
33.51 +3.0% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
34.77 +6.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 33.68 · prior close 32.52 | |
| Bargain buy side |
31.56 -2.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
30.42 -6.5% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 31.26 | 2 in 10 days | 33.83 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 31.56 | 3 in 10 days | 33.51 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 31.85 | 4 in 10 days | 33.20 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 29.76 | 2 in 10 weeks | 35.53 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 30.42 | 3 in 10 weeks | 34.77 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 31.04 | 4 in 10 weeks | 34.07 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ATAT's daily swings (about 3.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among ATAT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Dec 5, 2025 |
42.21 +25.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 34.77 +3.2% |
| 200-day average | 34.76 +3.2% |
| Now | 33.68 |
| 50-day average | 33.02 -1.9% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
32.52 -3.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 30.42 -9.7% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 28, 2026 |
30.29 -10.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 4 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.