ATKR
Moving with the market
- ATKR +0.02% on the last session vs SPY +0.13%: −0.1 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ATKR only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
96.23 +1.4% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
97.86 +3.1% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 94.95 · prior close 94.93 | |
| Bargain buy side |
93.65 -1.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
92.09 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 93.24 | 2 in 10 days | 96.65 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 93.65 | 3 in 10 days | 96.23 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 94.04 | 4 in 10 days | 95.83 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 91.19 | 2 in 10 weeks | 98.83 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 92.09 | 3 in 10 weeks | 97.86 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 92.94 | 4 in 10 weeks | 96.96 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ATKR's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | +0.1% | +0.1% | — | — |
| Sep 4, 2026 | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.0% | — |
| Aug 3, 2026 | +28.2% | +0.2% | +0.4% | — |
| May 22, 2026 | +11.2% | -3.4% | -8.1% | +10.7% |
| Mar 28, 2024 | +2.3% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -29.0% |
| Feb 27, 2024 | +1.5% | -0.9% | +13.8% | -7.6% |
| Aug 1, 2023 | +3.0% | -4.8% | -6.4% | -23.0% |
| Jun 29, 2023 | +2.0% | -5.0% | +2.1% | -2.4% |
Big drop and big gain: among ATKR's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Apr 1, 2024 |
185.63 +95.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 97.86 +3.1% |
| Now | 94.95 |
| 52-week closing high Oct 15, 2026 |
94.95 0.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
94.93 0.0% |
| 50-day average | 94.12 -0.9% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 92.09 -3.0% |
| 200-day average | 76.36 -19.6% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 18, 2026 |
54.86 -42.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 10 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.