ATRO
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices ATRO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
61.13 +2.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
63.35 +6.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 62.23 · prior close 59.39 | |
| Bargain buy side |
57.70 -2.8% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% |
55.67 -6.3% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 57.16 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 61.71 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 57.70 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 61.13 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 58.21 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 60.60 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 54.52 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 64.70 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 55.67 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 63.35 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 56.77 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 62.13 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From ATRO's daily swings (about 3.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | -4.0% | +1.5% | — | — |
| Oct 7, 2026 | -6.6% | -4.0% | — | — |
| Sep 14, 2026 | -4.1% | -3.3% | -11.1% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -7.4% | -13.5% | -24.6% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -2.9% | +23.3% | +0.2% | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -4.7% | +18.4% | +19.7% | -6.7% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -7.6% | +7.5% | +41.5% | -6.1% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | -3.2% | -14.9% | -19.0% | -17.9% |
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among ATRO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 14, 2026 |
93.45 +50.2% |
| 50-day average | 67.58 +8.6% |
| 200-day average | 66.22 +6.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 63.35 +1.8% |
| Now | 62.23 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
59.39 -4.6% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 55.67 -10.5% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 7, 2025 |
37.49 -39.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.