Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- AVGO +3.35% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +2.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- 8 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 74% positive over the week.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
After each kind of event
| Event | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any day | 1,255 | +0.1%#189 H | +0.6%#67 H | +3.3%#10 H | +11.8%#10 M |
| Big drop (-3.3% or worse) | 69 | -0.1%#397 H | +1.0%#121 H | +4.4%#51 H | +19.2%#14 M |
| Big gain (+3.4% or better) | 68 | +0.1%#236 H | 0.0%#302 H | +3.0%#75 H | +12.3%#14 M |
| Earnings beat | 19 | 0.0%#272 M | +0.3%#276 M | +1.7%#205 M | +8.5%#35 M |
| Earnings miss | — | — | — | — | — |
| 52-week high | 20 | -0.2%#324 H | -2.3%#464 H | +2.6%#110 H | +10.3%#88 M |
| 52-week low | 1 | -1.6%– | -0.5%– | +10.1%– | +32.4%– |
| Crossed above 200-day avg | 5 | -0.7%#269 L | +1.0%#231 L | +5.2%#196 L | +21.4%#83 L |
| Crossed below 200-day avg | 4 | +0.1%#249 L | -0.1%#269 L | +2.7%#97 L | +51.1%#69 L |
| RSI oversold | 3 | -2.6%#441 L | +6.5%#106 L | +5.9%#222 L | +25.0%#197 L |
| RSI overbought | 18 | 0.0%#258 M | +0.7%#177 M | +3.4%#71 M | +2.6%#198 M |
| Reddit spike | 32 | +0.1%#66 H | +3.2%#7 H | -1.5%#69 H | +9.0%#15 M |
| Analyst upgrade | 2 | -1.2%– | -5.7%– | -5.2%– | +13.9%– |
| Analyst downgrade | 3 | +3.2%#1 L | +1.4%#5 L | +8.2%#4 L | +2.9%– |
| Insider buy | 3 | +0.3%#4 L | -0.9%#4 L | -7.0%#3 L | -9.7%#3 L |
| Insider unplanned sale | 19 | +0.3%#15 M | +1.1%#13 M | +8.2%#5 L | +2.6%#19 L |
Median gain from the close of the session the event was known, over each holding period; #rank among the S&P 500 stocks after the same kind of event (#1 = best). "Big" is AVGO's own: its worst / best 10% of days over the prior 2 years. Highlighted: happening in the latest session.
Insider unplanned sale
An insider's sale outside a pre-arranged 10b5-1 plan; entry the session after its SEC filing.
| Holding | Events | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Rank | Up | vs SPY | Range of outcomes (worst · 25–75% · median · best) | vs S&P 500 stocks (their medians) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 19 ≈10 indep. | +0.27% (-2.9 to +0.5) | Medium | #15 of 34 | 53% | -0.95% |
-3%
+2%
|
|
| 1 week | 19 ≈10 indep. | +1.15% (-3.1 to +2.8) | Medium | #13 of 34 | 53% | +0.03% |
-7%
+5%
|
|
| 1 month | 19 ≈6 indep. | +8.23% (-4.2 to +10.4) | Low | #5 of 33 | 63% | +2.82% |
-5%
+25%
|
|
| 1 quarter | 17 ≈4 indep. | +2.63% (-6.1 to +10.3) | Low | #19 of 28 | 59% | -2.34% |
-10%
+29%
|
Range of outcomes: all of AVGO's unplanned insider sales in the past 5 years, from the worst to the best result over each holding period; the box holds the middle half, the tick is the median. A wide box means the median alone says little. Hover the median for the average.
Insider unplanned sale by trend
| When it happened | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long trendAbove its 200-day avg | 15 | +0.3%M vs +0.1% | +2.0%M vs +0.5% | +1.2%L vs +3.4% | -1.0%L vs +15.2% |
| Below its 200-day avg now | 4 | -2.9%– vs +0.1% | -3.1%– vs +1.1% | +25.2%– vs +6.9% | +28.9%– vs +19.0% |
| Medium trendAbove its 50-day avg | 5 | +0.3%L vs +0.1% | +5.2%L vs +0.4% | +10.4%– vs +3.0% | +2.6%– vs +10.7% |
| Below its 50-day avg now | 14 | -0.3%L vs +0.1% | -1.5%L vs +0.7% | +1.9%L vs +2.7% | +2.2%L vs +15.2% |
| Short trendAbove its 20-day avg now | 6 | +0.3%L vs 0.0% | +1.9%L vs +0.1% | +9.4%L vs +3.2% | +2.6%– vs +9.7% |
| Below its 20-day avg | 13 | -2.0%L vs +0.2% | +1.1%L vs +1.4% | +1.2%L vs +3.2% | +5.5%L vs +15.5% |
The same event split by where AVGO stood against its 200-, 50- and 20-day averages when it happened (a dip in an uptrend vs a falling knife); "vs" is the plain any-day median in that trend; "now" marks where it stands today. Splitting halves the evidence, so watch the confidence letters: H / M / L.
Latest unplanned insider sales
| Event | Entry | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Jul 13 @ $383.35 | Gayla J Delly (Director), $728,368 | +1.3% | -1.5% | +8.3% | … |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Jun 30 @ $377.06 | Mark David Brazeal (Chief Legal & Corp Affairs Ofc), $9,675,000 | -2.2% | +2.9% | +2.7% | -5.8% |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Jun 22 @ $391.42 | Mark David Brazeal (Chief Legal & Corp Affairs Ofc), $3,175,919 | -3.1% | -5.0% | +1.2% | -7.3% |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Apr 13 @ $378.46 | Justine Page (Director), $712,354 | +0.3% | +5.2% | +10.4% | +2.6% |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Apr 13 @ $378.46 | S. Ram Velaga (President, ISG), $10,638,012 | +0.3% | +5.2% | +10.4% | +2.6% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 19 @ $318.09 | S. Ram Velaga (President, ISG), $20,819,103 | -2.9% | -3.1% | +25.2% | +28.9% |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Jan 9 @ $343.08 | Hock E Tan (President and CEO, Director), $24,310,684 | +2.1% | +2.0% | -1.3% | +10.3% |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Dec 30 @ $347.93 | Hock E Tan (President and CEO, Director), $34,564,807 | -1.1% | -1.8% | -5.3% | -10.2% |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Dec 19 @ $337.85 | Charlie B Kawwas (President, Semi Solutions Grp), $1,053,112 | +0.5% | +2.8% | -4.2% | -6.1% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 19 @ $337.85 | Mark David Brazeal (Chief Legal & Corp Affairs Ofc), $8,361,500 | +0.5% | +2.8% | -4.2% | -6.1% |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 26 @ $332.06 | Hock E Tan (President and CEO, Director), $33,958,393 | -2.0% | +1.1% | +8.2% | +5.5% |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Sep 15 @ $360.78 | Hock E Tan (President and CEO, Director), $49,879,007 | -1.1% | -6.8% | -5.3% | -1.0% |
Aftermath: entry is the close of the first session the event was fully known (the same session for price moves, the reaction session for earnings, the next session for Reddit, analyst and insider events, which are dated by day). Repeats within a few sessions count as one event. Past performance after an event says nothing certain about the next one. Not advice.