AVGO
Moving with its ai chips & networking peers
- AVGO −1.72% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: −1.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- News: Semiconductors and AI chips fell broadly Thursday; AVGO -1.75% amid sector weakness exceeding S&P 500 gains.
- AI chips & networking basket -3.1% (-3.2 pts vs SPY; ANET -5.4%, AMD -3.6%, MRVL -3.0%, ALAB -2.8%): the stock moved with its peers.
- Aftermath, mention spike (trendy) (Oct 9): After its 32 mention spikes in the past 5 years, AVGO was higher a week later 21 times out of 32; half the outcomes fell between -1.2% and +7.2%. History, not a forecast.
- 15 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 70% positive over the week.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AVGO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
354.10 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
364.04 +5.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 340.31 · prior close 346.25 | |
| Bargain buy side |
338.58 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
329.33 -4.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 336.12 | 2 in 10 days | 356.68 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 338.58 | 3 in 10 days | 354.10 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 340.88 | 4 in 10 days | 351.70 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 324.01 | 2 in 10 weeks | 370.01 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 329.33 | 3 in 10 weeks | 364.04 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 334.36 | 4 in 10 weeks | 358.56 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AVGO's daily swings (about 2.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among AVGO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 660.00 +93.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 527.59 +55.0% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 2, 2026 |
479.94 +41.0% |
| 200-day average | 367.13 +7.9% |
| 50-day average | 367.06 +7.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 364.04 +7.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
346.25 +1.7% |
| Now | 340.31 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 329.33 -3.2% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 30, 2026 |
292.41 -14.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 215.88 -36.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 17 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.