AVIV
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AVIV only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
79.79 +0.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
80.43 +1.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Last close | 79.28 | |
| Bargain buy side |
78.77 -0.6% reached 3 in 10 days |
78.15 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 78.61 | 2 in 10 days | 79.96 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 78.77 | 3 in 10 days | 79.79 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 78.93 | 4 in 10 days | 79.64 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 77.79 | 2 in 10 weeks | 80.80 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 78.15 | 3 in 10 weeks | 80.43 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 78.49 | 4 in 10 weeks | 80.08 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AVIV's daily swings (about 0.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among AVIV's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 25, 2026 |
83.62 +5.5% |
| 50-day average | 80.96 +2.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 80.43 +1.4% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
79.28 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 78.15 -1.4% |
| 200-day average | 78.13 -1.4% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
64.75 -18.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 5 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.