AYA
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices AYA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
23.92 +3.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
25.07 +8.9% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 23.02 | |
| Bargain buy side |
22.16 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
21.13 -8.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 21.88 | 2 in 10 days | 24.22 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 22.16 | 3 in 10 days | 23.92 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 22.41 | 4 in 10 days | 23.64 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 20.56 | 2 in 10 weeks | 25.78 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 21.13 | 3 in 10 weeks | 25.07 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 21.69 | 4 in 10 weeks | 24.43 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From AYA's daily swings (about 4.0% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -10.3% | +2.5% | — | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -7.2% | -4.6% | -15.4% | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | -5.6% | +13.3% | +2.0% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -6.3% | +10.9% | +15.3% | — |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -5.8% | +18.0% | +43.1% | +22.8% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | -5.9% | +6.7% | +33.5% | +43.9% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -7.8% | +4.0% | +9.5% | +66.8% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | -8.6% | -18.2% | +1.5% | +44.3% |
Big drop and big gain: among AYA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Sep 22, 2026 |
30.38 +32.0% |
| 50-day average | 27.05 +17.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 25.07 +8.9% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
23.02 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 21.13 -8.2% |
| 200-day average | 20.83 -9.5% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 20, 2025 |
9.37 -59.3% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 16 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.