BATRK
Moving with the market
- BATRK +0.03% on the last session vs SPY +0.05%: −0.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BATRK only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
50.60 +1.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
51.67 +3.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 49.78 · prior close 49.76 | |
| Bargain buy side |
48.93 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
47.92 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 48.66 | 2 in 10 days | 50.88 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 48.93 | 3 in 10 days | 50.60 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 49.18 | 4 in 10 days | 50.35 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 47.34 | 2 in 10 weeks | 52.30 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 47.92 | 3 in 10 weeks | 51.67 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 48.47 | 4 in 10 weeks | 51.08 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BATRK's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | -1.9% | -1.9% | — | — |
| Sep 9, 2026 | -1.6% | +2.1% | +5.6% | — |
| Aug 26, 2026 | -2.5% | -0.7% | +5.1% | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | -1.6% | -0.4% | -3.9% | — |
| Aug 5, 2026 | -2.8% | +6.5% | +2.1% | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -1.5% | -2.2% | +3.7% | +2.4% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | -1.5% | +1.1% | -1.5% | +0.1% |
| Jun 25, 2026 | -1.7% | +3.9% | -0.1% | +6.5% |
Big drop and big gain: among BATRK's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Sep 28, 2026 |
54.29 +9.1% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 51.67 +3.8% |
| 50-day average | 51.64 +3.8% |
| Now | 49.78 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
49.76 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 47.92 -3.7% |
| 200-day average | 47.60 -4.4% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 17, 2025 |
38.04 -23.6% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 10 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.