BB
Moving with the market
- BB +1.31% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: +0.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (Sep 28): After its 64 big gains in the past 5 years, BB typically lost 0.2% over the next day (median) and was higher only 47% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.7% and +1.4%. An ordinary day: +0.0%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #348 of 500.
- 7 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 84% positive over the week · today's pace is 1.3× its recent daily average.
- 2 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Canaccord Genuity maintained Hold, lowered target $10.30 → $9.50.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days, including 2 insider sales not under a 10b5-1 plan.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
After each kind of event
| Event | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any day | 1,255 | 0.0%#344 H | -0.3%#437 H | -1.8%#446 H | -7.5%#481 M |
| Big drop (-3.4% or worse) | 48 | -1.0%#376 H | -2.0%#404 H | -0.7%#310 H | -13.8%#453 M |
| Big gain Sep 28 (+4.1% or better) | 64 | -0.2%#348 H | -0.7%#322 H | +1.2%#236 H | -7.8%#408 M |
| Earnings beat | 15 | +0.5%#222 M | +0.7%#213 M | -2.8%#328 M | -13.7%#497 M |
| Earnings miss | — | — | — | — | — |
| 52-week high | 5 | +4.5%#184 L | -0.2%#241 L | +9.7%#180 L | +4.5%#211 L |
| 52-week low | 6 | -2.4%#236 L | -1.7%#156 L | +4.6%#61 L | +2.5%#157 L |
| Crossed above 200-day avg | 8 | 0.0%#245 M | +2.8%#217 M | +13.8%#63 M | +15.2%#189 L |
| Crossed below 200-day avg | 7 | -1.1%#349 L | +0.8%#214 L | +3.8%#216 L | -14.3%#265 L |
| RSI oversold | 13 | -0.3%#298 M | -2.6%#457 M | -0.4%#389 M | +1.8%#291 M |
| RSI overbought | 14 | +0.3%#170 M | +1.5%#196 M | +1.8%#238 M | -9.6%#304 M |
| Mention spike (Trendy) | 30 | +0.6%#24 H | 0.0%#51 H | -5.5%#77 H | -12.3%#87 M |
| Analyst upgrade | — | — | — | — | — |
| Analyst downgrade | 1 | -3.1%– | -5.2%– | -2.7%– | -18.3%– |
| Insider buy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Insider unplanned sale | 14 | +0.2%#16 L | -0.5%#17 L | -11.1%#19 L | -1.8%#9 L |
Median gain from the close of the session the event was known, over each holding period; #rank among the S&P 500 stocks after the same kind of event (#1 = best). "Big" is BB's own: its worst / best 10% of days over the prior 2 years. Highlighted: happening in the latest session.
RSI overbought
The 14-day RSI rises above 70.
| Holding | Events | Median (likely range) | Confidence | Rank | Up | vs SPY | Range of outcomes (worst · 25–75% · median · best) | vs S&P 500 stocks (their medians) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 14 | +0.30% (-0.7 to +0.7) | Medium | #170 of 501 | 64% | +0.40% |
-4%
+19%
|
|
| 1 week | 14 | +1.52% (-0.7 to +5.1) | Medium | #196 of 501 | 50% | +1.58% |
-18%
+42%
|
|
| 1 month | 14 ≈12 indep. | +1.78% (-14.7 to +26.2) | Medium | #238 of 501 | 50% | +1.87% |
-29%
+67%
|
|
| 1 quarter | 14 ≈10 indep. | -9.57% (-29.8 to +1.4) | Medium | #304 of 501 | 43% | -14.71% |
-39%
+184%
|
Range of outcomes: all of BB's overbought readings in the past 5 years, from the worst to the best result over each holding period; the box holds the middle half, the tick is the median. A wide box means the median alone says little. Hover the median for the average.
RSI overbought by trend
| When it happened | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long trendAbove its 200-day avg now | 10 | +0.5%M vs 0.0% | +4.2%M vs -0.3% | +5.5%M vs -2.9% | -9.6%L vs -10.5% |
| Below its 200-day avg | 4 | -0.2%L vs 0.0% | -0.6%L vs +0.3% | -12.3%L vs +0.1% | -10.6%L vs +0.4% |
| Medium trendAbove its 50-day avg now | 14 | +0.3%M vs 0.0% | +1.5%M vs -0.4% | +1.8%M vs -2.9% | -9.6%M vs -12.1% |
| Below its 50-day avg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Short trendAbove its 20-day avg now | 14 | +0.3%M vs +0.2% | +1.5%M vs 0.0% | +1.8%M vs -0.5% | -9.6%M vs -9.7% |
| Below its 20-day avg | — | — | — | — | — |
The same event split by where BB stood against its 200-, 50- and 20-day averages when it happened (a dip in an uptrend vs a falling knife); "vs" is the plain any-day median in that trend; "now" marks where it stands today. Splitting halves the evidence, so watch the confidence letters: H / M / L.
Latest overbought readings
| Event | Entry | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Jun 26 @ $11.40 | RSI 74.6, +10.2% on the day | +9.5% | -0.2% | -29.0% | -28.0% |
| May 21, 2026 | May 21 @ $6.65 | RSI 75.7, +7.3% on the day | +18.9% | +35.3% | +32.6% | +20.9% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apr 29 @ $5.38 | RSI 71.3, +4.7% on the day | +0.4% | +11.3% | +67.3% | +56.9% |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Apr 13 @ $3.87 | RSI 70.3, +0.8% on the day | +2.6% | +42.1% | +60.7% | +184.5% |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Sep 18 @ $4.20 | RSI 71.3, +4.7% on the day | +0.2% | +10.7% | +6.9% | +1.4% |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 25 @ $4.87 | RSI 76.0, +12.5% on the day | -3.1% | -13.1% | -19.7% | -12.3% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Jan 30 @ $4.41 | RSI 70.4, +1.6% on the day | +0.7% | +17.0% | -0.5% | -23.6% |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Jan 6 @ $4.09 | RSI 73.3, +11.1% on the day | -0.7% | -2.2% | +26.2% | -29.8% |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Dec 9 @ $2.94 | RSI 79.1, +13.5% on the day | -4.1% | +5.1% | +38.1% | +44.9% |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 14 @ $4.36 | RSI 71.1, +2.1% on the day | +0.2% | -17.9% | -23.4% | -39.2% |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Aug 30 @ $5.52 | RSI 70.6, +2.2% on the day | +0.7% | -15.2% | -14.7% | -31.7% |
| May 8, 2023 | May 8 @ $4.98 | RSI 72.6, +6.2% on the day | +0.8% | +3.2% | +4.0% | -6.8% |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Mar 31 @ $4.56 | RSI 70.2, +14.0% on the day | -0.7% | -0.7% | -7.0% | +14.9% |
| Aug 8, 2022 | Aug 8 @ $6.90 | RSI 70.5, +2.2% on the day | -4.5% | -0.6% | -17.5% | -36.1% |
Aftermath: entry is the close of the first session the event was fully known (the same session for price moves, the reaction session for earnings, the next session for Reddit, analyst and insider events, which are dated by day). Repeats within a few sessions count as one event. Past performance after an event says nothing certain about the next one. Not advice.