BBVA
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BBVA only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
23.86 +1.8% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% |
24.39 +4.1% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 23.44 | |
| Bargain buy side |
23.03 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
22.53 -3.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 22.89 | 2 in 10 days | 24.00 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 23.03 | 3 in 10 days | 23.86 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 23.15 | 4 in 10 days | 23.73 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 22.24 | 2 in 10 weeks | 24.71 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 22.53 | 3 in 10 weeks | 24.39 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 22.80 | 4 in 10 weeks | 24.10 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BBVA's daily swings (about 1.8% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -2.9% | -2.3% | — | — |
| Sep 30, 2026 | -2.7% | -5.8% | -10.9% | — |
| Sep 16, 2026 | -2.5% | 0.0% | -6.2% | — |
| Jul 23, 2026 | -3.5% | +9.0% | +14.7% | +3.5% |
| Jul 8, 2026 | -2.9% | +0.9% | +11.1% | +7.2% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | -2.7% | -2.8% | +15.4% | +28.7% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -3.4% | +4.1% | +9.9% | +29.6% |
| Apr 20, 2026 | -2.7% | -5.1% | -6.8% | +10.6% |
Big drop and big gain: among BBVA's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Sep 3, 2026 |
29.17 +24.5% |
| 50-day average | 27.16 +15.9% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 24.39 +4.1% |
| 200-day average | 24.20 +3.3% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
23.44 |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 22.53 -3.9% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 3, 2025 |
18.63 -20.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 38 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.