BETR
After each kind of event
| Event | Events | Reaction day | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any day | 1,255 | — | 0.0%521/1254 up | 0.0%566/1250 up | -0.1%581/1234 up | -0.3%547/1192 up |
| Big drop (-7.2% or worse) | 85 | — | -1.1%35/85 up | -0.2%40/85 up | -5.4%31/83 up | -22.3%29/78 up |
| Big gain (+7.9% or better) | 88 | — | 0.0%39/88 up | -2.3%32/88 up | -3.1%34/87 up | -9.2%34/83 up |
| Earnings beat | 2 | -11.3%0/2 up | +4.3%1/2 up | +0.8%2/2 up | +45.5%2/2 up | +127.9%2/2 up |
| Earnings miss | 3 | -7.1%0/3 up | -1.5%1/3 up | -11.2%0/3 up | -16.6%0/3 up | -47.5%0/2 up |
| 52-week high | 7 | — | 0.0%3/7 up | -1.3%3/7 up | +0.1%4/7 up | +0.1%4/7 up |
| 52-week low | 9 | — | -1.4%2/9 up | -1.1%4/9 up | -7.0%3/9 up | +0.2%4/7 up |
| Crossed above 200-day avg | 7 | — | -1.1%2/7 up | +0.1%4/7 up | -1.7%3/7 up | -10.7%3/7 up |
| Crossed below 200-day avg | 8 | — | -2.8%3/8 up | -1.5%3/8 up | -6.2%4/8 up | -6.8%4/8 up |
| RSI oversold | 4 | — | +3.7%2/4 up | +7.8%4/4 up | +15.4%3/3 up | +8.5%3/3 up |
| RSI overbought | 14 | — | -0.1%4/14 up | -0.7%6/14 up | +0.3%9/14 up | -8.8%7/14 up |
| Volume spike | 45 | — | 0.0%18/45 up | +0.1%26/45 up | +0.3%27/43 up | +0.5%24/42 up |
| Theme selloff hindsight | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Theme rally hindsight | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mention spike (Trendy) | 1 | — | -1.1%0/1 up | -17.1%0/1 up | -2.7%0/1 up | -46.0%0/1 up |
| Analyst upgrade | 1 | — | +0.7%1/1 up | -17.3%0/1 up | — | — |
| Analyst downgrade | 1 | — | -1.4%0/1 up | -14.9%0/1 up | -7.0%0/1 up | — |
| Insider buy | 7 | — | -3.5%3/7 up | -0.5%3/7 up | -4.8%2/7 up | -40.0%1/7 up |
| Insider unplanned sale Oct 22 | 5 | — | +0.4%3/5 up | +2.2%2/3 up | +18.6%3/3 up | -33.9%0/1 up |
Median gain from the close of the session the event was known, over each holding period; Reaction day (earnings only): the session that first traded on the report, from the close before it; under it, how many of the past events were followed by a gain (12/20 up). "Big" is BETR's own: its worst / best 10% of days over the prior 2 years. Highlighted: happening in the latest session.
RSI overbought
The 14-day RSI rises above 70.
| Holding | Events | Median | Up | vs SPY | Range of outcomes (worst · 25–75% · median · best) | vs S&P 500 stocks (their medians) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 14 | -0.10% | 4 of 14 | -0.14% |
-36%
+6%
|
|
| 1 week | 14 | -0.69% | 6 of 14 | -0.84% |
-22%
+3%
|
|
| 1 month | 14 ≈13 indep. | +0.25% | 9 of 14 | -4.47% |
-48%
+41%
|
|
| 1 quarter | 14 ≈7 indep. | -8.81% | 7 of 14 | -14.56% |
-99%
+259%
|
Range of outcomes: all of BETR's overbought readings in the past 5 years, from the worst to the best result over each holding period; the box holds the middle half, the tick is the median. A wide box means the median alone says little. Hover the median for the average.
RSI overbought by trend
| When it happened | Events | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long trendAbove its 200-day avg | 12 | 0.0%12 events vs 0.0% | 0.0%12 events vs 0.0% | +0.3%12 events vs +0.4% | +0.3%12 events vs +0.8% |
| Below its 200-day avg now | 2 | -3.6%2 events vs -0.2% | -12.9%2 events vs -1.4% | -12.0%2 events vs -5.0% | -32.7%2 events vs -6.9% |
| Medium trendAbove its 50-day avg now | 14 | -0.1%14 events vs 0.0% | -0.7%14 events vs 0.0% | +0.3%14 events vs +0.3% | -8.8%14 events vs +0.3% |
| Below its 50-day avg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Short trendAbove its 20-day avg now | 14 | -0.1%14 events vs 0.0% | -0.7%14 events vs 0.0% | +0.3%14 events vs +0.2% | -8.8%14 events vs +0.3% |
| Below its 20-day avg | — | — | — | — | — |
The same event split by where BETR stood against its 200-, 50- and 20-day averages when it happened (a dip in an uptrend vs a falling knife); "vs" is the plain any-day median in that trend; "now" marks where it stands today. Splitting halves the evidence: each cell shows how many past events it rests on.
Latest overbought readings
| Event | Entry | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | 1 quarter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | Oct 20 @ $81.39 | RSI 74.0, +28.5% on the day | -8.0% | -3.6% | -33.0% | -59.9% |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Sep 29 @ $58.79 | RSI 73.0, +10.9% on the day | -4.5% | -1.7% | +29.2% | -42.0% |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Aug 13 @ $17.68 | RSI 71.9, +23.6% on the day | -5.8% | +1.4% | +41.3% | +258.9% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Jul 12 @ $27.25 | RSI 70.1, +0.9% on the day | +6.2% | +2.8% | -29.4% | -45.2% |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Jun 24 @ $23.60 | RSI 70.6, +14.0% on the day | -2.1% | -4.0% | +6.8% | -17.7% |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28 @ $43.00 | RSI 72.1, +19.3% on the day | -5.0% | -21.9% | -30.8% | -47.7% |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Jul 25 @ $1,676.50 | RSI 99.6, +223.0% on the day | -35.9% | -7.5% | -48.0% | -98.7% |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Jun 16 @ $525.00 | RSI 75.2, +1.6% on the day | 0.0% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -93.7% |
| May 23, 2023 | May 23 @ $512.00 | RSI 74.8, +0.5% on the day | 0.0% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +70.3% |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Feb 16 @ $509.00 | RSI 72.8, +0.1% on the day | 0.0% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% |
| Jan 4, 2023 | Jan 4 @ $505.00 | RSI 71.6, +0.1% on the day | 0.0% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Nov 22 @ $498.25 | RSI 74.4, +0.1% on the day | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +0.9% |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Oct 31 @ $496.50 | RSI 70.4, +0.1% on the day | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Aug 25 @ $494.50 | RSI 73.3, +0.4% on the day | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% |
Aftermath: entry is the close of the first session the event was fully known (the same session for price moves, the reaction session for earnings, the next session for Reddit, analyst and insider events, which are dated by day). Repeats within a few sessions count as one event. This is history, not a forecast: in our backtests, how a stock did after its past events did not predict its next one. Not advice.