BOOM
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BOOM only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Next session | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
10.24 +9.5% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 26% vs usual 28% |
11.45 +22.4% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 26% vs usual 30% |
| Last close | 9.35 | |
| Bargain buy side |
8.54 -8.7% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 26% |
7.64 -18.3% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ||||
| Patient | 8.29 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% | 10.54 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 8.54 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 26% | 10.24 | 3 in 10 days↓ 26% vs 28% |
| Eager | 8.78 | 4 in 10 days | 9.96 | 4 in 10 days↓ 42% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 7.15 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 12.23 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 15% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 7.64 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 11.45 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 26% vs 30% |
| Eager | 8.12 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 40% vs 43% | 10.77 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 44% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BOOM's daily swings (about 9.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 26% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 26% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | +5.0% | +70.3% | — | — |
| Aug 27, 2026 | +5.4% | -1.0% | -16.6% | — |
| Jul 30, 2026 | +15.5% | +20.1% | +9.6% | +23.5% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | +7.7% | +2.2% | +7.7% | -10.9% |
| Jun 8, 2026 | +3.9% | -1.4% | -8.6% | -2.1% |
| May 26, 2026 | +4.8% | -5.9% | -16.6% | -5.3% |
| May 12, 2026 | +4.5% | -7.7% | -6.1% | +0.7% |
| May 1, 2026 | +36.1% | -11.5% | -19.1% | -14.0% |
Big drop and big gain: among BOOM's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jun 5, 2019 |
74.93 +701.4% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 11.45 +22.4% |
| Highest analyst target | 10.00 +7.0% |
| Mean analyst target | 10.00 +7.0% |
| Lowest analyst target | 10.00 +7.0% |
| Last close Oct 30, 2026 |
9.35 |
| 52-week closing high Oct 30, 2026 |
9.35 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 7.64 -18.3% |
| 200-day average | 6.57 -29.8% |
| 50-day average | 6.22 -33.5% |
| 52-week closing low Mar 13, 2026 |
4.73 -49.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 38 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from the last close. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.