BRK-B
Moving with the market
- BRK-B +0.31% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +0.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, rsi overbought (Oct 14): After its 15 overbought readings in the past 5 years, BRK-B was higher a day later 11 times out of 15; half the outcomes fell between -0.2% and +0.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 insider or congressional trade in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BRK-B only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
530.10 +0.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
534.78 +1.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 527.99 · prior close 526.35 | |
| Bargain buy side |
522.62 -0.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
518.05 -1.6% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 521.42 | 2 in 10 days | 531.33 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 522.62 | 3 in 10 days | 530.10 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 523.75 | 4 in 10 days | 528.96 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 515.38 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 537.55 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 518.05 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 534.78 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 520.55 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 532.22 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BRK-B's daily swings (about 0.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among BRK-B's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 604.00 +14.4% |
| Mean analyst target | 547.67 +3.7% |
| All-time closing high May 2, 2025 |
539.80 +2.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 534.78 +1.3% |
| 52-week closing high Aug 10, 2026 |
529.42 +0.3% |
| Now | 527.99 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
526.35 -0.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 518.05 -1.9% |
| Lowest analyst target | 510.00 -3.4% |
| 50-day average | 508.40 -3.7% |
| 200-day average | 493.43 -6.5% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 22, 2026 |
465.40 -11.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 30 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.