BRO
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- BRO +5.60% on the last session vs SPY +0.02%: +5.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (+5.6% today so far, past its big-gain line of +1.9%): After its 60 big gains in the past 5 years, BRO was higher a day later 19 times out of 60; half the outcomes fell between -1.2% and +0.3%. History, not a forecast.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 3 negative); latest: Barclays maintained Equal-Weight, lowered target $76.00 → $71.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BRO only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
65.90 +1.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
67.29 +3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 68.43 · prior close 64.80 | |
| Bargain buy side |
63.71 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
62.40 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 63.37 | 2 in 10 days | 66.27 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 63.71 | 3 in 10 days | 65.90 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 64.04 | 4 in 10 days | 65.57 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 61.64 | 2 in 10 weeks | 68.13 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 62.40 | 3 in 10 weeks | 67.29 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 63.12 | 4 in 10 weeks | 66.53 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BRO's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among BRO's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Apr 3, 2025 |
122.88 +79.6% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 14, 2025 |
93.86 +37.2% |
| Highest analyst target | 90.00 +31.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 74.65 +9.1% |
| Now | 68.43 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 67.29 -1.7% |
| 50-day average | 67.23 -1.8% |
| 200-day average | 66.92 -2.2% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
64.80 -5.3% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 62.40 -8.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 55.00 -19.6% |
| 52-week closing low May 13, 2026 |
54.25 -20.7% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 46 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.