BSAC
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices BSAC only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
30.96 +1.4% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 days · 31% vs usual 28% reached today |
31.51 +3.2% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 31.48 · prior close 30.53 | |
| Bargain buy side |
30.10 -1.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
29.59 -3.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 29.97 | 2 in 10 days | 31.10 | 2 in 10 days↑ 20% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 30.10 | 3 in 10 days | 30.96 | 3 in 10 days↑ 31% vs 28% |
| Eager | 30.23 | 4 in 10 days | 30.83 | 5 in 10 days↑ 49% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 29.28 | 2 in 10 weeks | 31.83 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 29.59 | 3 in 10 weeks | 31.51 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 29.87 | 4 in 10 weeks | 31.21 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From BSAC's daily swings (about 1.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 31% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | -3.1% | -1.5% | — | — |
| Oct 1, 2026 | -2.3% | -2.0% | -6.3% | — |
| Sep 23, 2026 | -2.2% | -2.7% | -6.8% | — |
| Aug 26, 2026 | -2.3% | +1.2% | -2.7% | — |
| Aug 12, 2026 | -2.9% | +2.6% | +3.5% | — |
| Jun 24, 2026 | -2.4% | +3.5% | +6.4% | +9.0% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | -3.0% | -3.2% | +5.1% | +12.2% |
| May 7, 2026 | -3.1% | +0.7% | -1.8% | +15.2% |
Big drop and big gain: among BSAC's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Aug 25, 2026 |
36.15 +14.8% |
| 50-day average | 33.57 +6.7% |
| 200-day average | 32.84 +4.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 31.51 +0.1% |
| Now | 31.48 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
30.53 -3.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 29.59 -6.0% |
| 52-week closing low Nov 4, 2025 |
27.04 -14.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 32 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.