CAVA
Analyst target raises behind the outperformance
- CAVA +5.55% on the last session vs SPY −0.00%: +5.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- 0 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 88% positive over the week.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (1 positive, 0 negative); latest: Melius Research upgraded to Buy, target $95.00.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Best and worst times to own CAVA in the past two years
Buying and selling at the close. Each colored stretch is the best or worst window for that holding period, green for a gain and red for a loss: longer holds are wider and darker underneath, shorter ones brighter on top. The grey line is the full two years. Letters mark events inside the windows (E earnings, A analyst, I insider, M mention spike, V volume spike, T theme move, N news). Hover a period above the chart to pick it out and see only its events; click it to hide or show it.
Best and worst window per holding period
| Best | Worst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hold for | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank | Buy | Sell | Gain | Rank |
| one single day | Feb 24, 2026 | Feb 25, 2026 | +26.4% | #13 | Aug 12, 2025 | Aug 13, 2025 | -16.6% | #47 |
| one week | Feb 18, 2026 | Feb 25, 2026 | +26.5% | #60 | Feb 18, 2025 | Feb 25, 2025 | -25.5% | #30 |
| one month | Feb 17, 2026 | Mar 17, 2026 | +43.0% | #66 | Feb 13, 2025 | Mar 13, 2025 | -43.2% | #10 |
| 3 months | Nov 25, 2025 | Feb 25, 2026 | +76.5% | #48 | Aug 6, 2025 | Nov 6, 2025 | -45.9% | #11 |
| 6 months | Nov 6, 2025 | May 6, 2026 | +92.1% | #66 | May 16, 2025 | Nov 18, 2025 | -53.5% | #15 |
| one year | Jun 13, 2025 | Jun 15, 2026 | +20.0% | #385 | Nov 20, 2024 | Nov 20, 2025 | -68.8% | #4 |
Rank #60 for the best one week means 59 of the S&P 500 components had a better best-one week gain over the past year; for the worst windows #1 is the deepest fall. Updated .
What happened in each window
Best one single day Feb 24, 2026 → Feb 25, 2026 +26.4% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.01 vs consensus · +26.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.5x average volume, +26.4% on the day
Best one week Feb 18, 2026 → Feb 25, 2026 +26.5% · 2 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.01 vs consensus · +26.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.5x average volume, +26.4% on the day
Best one month Feb 17, 2026 → Mar 17, 2026 +43.0% · 4 events
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.01 vs consensus · +26.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.5x average volume, +26.4% on the day
- A Analyst downgrade Argus Research: Buy → Hold
- I Unplanned insider sale Adam David Phillips (Chief Accounting Officer), $171,080
Best 3 months Nov 25, 2025 → Feb 25, 2026 +76.5% · 4 events
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $192,052
- I Unplanned insider sale Theodoros Xenohristos (Chief Concept Officer, Director), $65,051
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.01 vs consensus · +26.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.5x average volume, +26.4% on the day
Best 6 months Nov 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 +92.1% · 7 events
- I Insider buy Brett Schulman (CEO and President, Director), $7,347
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $192,052
- I Unplanned insider sale Theodoros Xenohristos (Chief Concept Officer, Director), $65,051
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.01 vs consensus · +26.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.5x average volume, +26.4% on the day
- A Analyst downgrade Argus Research: Buy → Hold
- I Unplanned insider sale Adam David Phillips (Chief Accounting Officer), $171,080
Best one year Jun 13, 2025 → Jun 15, 2026 +20.1% · 20 events
- V Volume spike 3.9x average volume, +2.7% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+14.3%) vs consensus · -16.6% reaction
- M Mention spike 174 mentions vs 2.6/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $221,961
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -11.2% on the day
- I Insider buy Brett Schulman (CEO and President, Director), $7,347
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $192,052
- I Unplanned insider sale Theodoros Xenohristos (Chief Concept Officer, Director), $65,051
- E Earnings beat 4Q2025 · EPS +$0.01 vs consensus · +26.4% reaction
- V Volume spike 5.5x average volume, +26.4% on the day
- A Analyst downgrade Argus Research: Buy → Hold
- I Unplanned insider sale Adam David Phillips (Chief Accounting Officer), $171,080
- I Unplanned insider sale Theodoros Xenohristos (Chief Concept Officer, Director), $721,259
- E Earnings beat 1Q2026 · EPS +$0.02 (+14.0%) vs consensus · +3.1% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.7x average volume, +3.1% on the day
- I Unplanned insider sale Adam David Phillips (Chief Accounting Officer), $399,662
- A Analyst upgrade Argus Research: Hold → Buy
- I Insider buy Douglas W. Thompson (Chief Operations Officer), $317,800
- I Insider buy Joseph John Kadow (CLO & Secretary), $70,000
- A Analyst upgrade UBS: Neutral → Buy
Worst one single day Aug 12, 2025 → Aug 13, 2025 -16.6% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 3.9x average volume, +2.7% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+14.3%) vs consensus · -16.6% reaction
- M Mention spike 174 mentions vs 2.6/day the week before
Worst one week Feb 18, 2025 → Feb 25, 2025 -25.5% · 1 event
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -4.7% on the day
Worst one month Feb 13, 2025 → Mar 13, 2025 -43.2% · 3 events
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -4.7% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.01 vs consensus · -0.3% reaction
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.9/day the week before
Worst 3 months Aug 6, 2025 → Nov 6, 2025 -45.9% · 5 events
- V Volume spike 3.9x average volume, +2.7% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+14.3%) vs consensus · -16.6% reaction
- M Mention spike 174 mentions vs 2.6/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $221,961
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -11.2% on the day
Worst 6 months May 16, 2025 → Nov 18, 2025 -53.5% · 8 events
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -2.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.07 (+46.7%) vs consensus · -2.3% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.9x average volume, +2.7% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+14.3%) vs consensus · -16.6% reaction
- M Mention spike 174 mentions vs 2.6/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $221,961
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -11.2% on the day
- I Insider buy Brett Schulman (CEO and President, Director), $7,347
Worst one year Nov 20, 2024 → Nov 20, 2025 -68.8% · 12 events
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -4.7% on the day
- E Earnings miss EPS −$0.01 vs consensus · -0.3% reaction
- M Mention spike 21 mentions vs 3.9/day the week before
- V Volume spike 3.5x average volume, -2.9% on the day
- V Volume spike 3.8x average volume, -2.3% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.07 (+46.7%) vs consensus · -2.3% reaction
- V Volume spike 3.9x average volume, +2.7% on the day
- E Earnings beat EPS +$0.02 (+14.3%) vs consensus · -16.6% reaction
- M Mention spike 174 mentions vs 2.6/day the week before
- I Unplanned insider sale Kenneth Robert Bertram (CLO & Secretary), $221,961
- V Volume spike 3.3x average volume, -11.2% on the day
- I Insider buy Brett Schulman (CEO and President, Director), $7,347
From Wallsti's event record (Aftermath's events over the two years, plus the AI-read news catalysts, which only cover recent weeks). An event is no proof of cause: check the dates against the line.
Today vs. the best starting days
| As of | 1d | 1w | 1m | 3m | 6m | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 15, 2026 |
+5.6% | +0.3% | +8.9% | -21.8% | -38.4% | -14.6% |
| Best one single day Feb 24, 2026 |
-0.8% | +7.1% | +2.2% | +44.9% | -1.1% | -34.9% |
| Best one week Feb 18, 2026 |
+7.0% | +0.5% | -6.0% | +50.3% | -3.0% | -49.2% |
| Best one month Feb 17, 2026 |
-0.3% | -8.2% | -12.2% | +40.0% | -9.4% | -51.7% |
| Best 3 months Nov 25, 2025 |
+3.7% | +7.8% | -23.7% | -25.8% | -41.8% | -65.9% |
| Best 6 months Nov 6, 2025 |
-7.5% | -13.2% | -27.0% | -45.9% | -50.1% | -66.5% |
| Best one year Jun 13, 2025 |
-4.7% | -5.6% | -25.2% | +0.7% | -39.9% | -19.4% |
Trailing gains over each window, today and on the day each best window started, to compare today's setup with the best entries.