CB
Moving with its group (XLF +1.0%)
- CB +0.99% on the last session vs SPY −0.00%: +1.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Tue after the close: EPS $6.80 expected (22 analysts); it moved ±2.5% on average after its last 8 reports.
- The financials ETF (XLF) +1.0% (+1.0 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- 4 analyst actions in the past 10 days (1 positive, 3 negative); latest: JP Morgan maintained Neutral, lowered target $374 → $371.
- 2 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CB only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
353.95 +1.1% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
358.70 +2.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 353.63 · prior close 350.15 | |
| Bargain buy side |
346.39 -1.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
341.80 -2.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 345.18 | 2 in 10 days | 355.19 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 346.39 | 3 in 10 days | 353.95 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 347.53 | 4 in 10 days | 352.79 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 339.14 | 2 in 10 weeks | 361.52 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 341.80 | 3 in 10 weeks | 358.70 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 344.31 | 4 in 10 weeks | 356.09 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CB's daily swings (about 1.1% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among CB's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 425.00 +20.2% |
| Mean analyst target | 366.87 +3.7% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 28, 2026 |
362.41 +2.5% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 358.70 +1.4% |
| Now | 353.63 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
350.15 -1.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 341.80 -3.3% |
| 50-day average | 339.99 -3.9% |
| 200-day average | 329.61 -6.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 307.00 -13.2% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 20, 2025 |
265.78 -24.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 34 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.