CBRE
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- CBRE +4.46% on the last session vs SPY +0.00%: +4.5 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Oct 22 before the open: EPS $1.96 expected (11 analysts); it moved ±3.9% on average after its last 8 reports.
- Aftermath, big gain (+4.5% today so far, past its big-gain line of +2.3%): After its 62 big gains in the past 5 years, CBRE was higher a month later 40 times out of 62; half the outcomes fell between -2.6% and +7.7%. History, not a forecast.
- 1 analyst action in the past 10 days (0 positive, 1 negative); latest: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained Outperform, lowered target $174 → $164.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CBRE only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
131.06 +1.7% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
133.81 +3.8% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 134.62 · prior close 128.87 | |
| Bargain buy side |
126.72 -1.7% reached 3 in 10 days |
124.11 -3.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 126.03 | 2 in 10 days | 131.77 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 126.72 | 3 in 10 days | 131.06 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 127.37 | 4 in 10 days | 130.39 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 122.61 | 2 in 10 weeks | 135.45 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 124.11 | 3 in 10 weeks | 133.81 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 125.53 | 4 in 10 weeks | 132.29 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CBRE's daily swings (about 1.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among CBRE's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 200.00 +48.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 181.33 +34.7% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jan 29, 2026 |
171.61 +27.5% |
| Lowest analyst target | 144.00 +7.0% |
| 200-day average | 143.70 +6.7% |
| 50-day average | 140.96 +4.7% |
| Now | 134.62 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 133.81 -0.6% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
128.87 -4.3% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 1, 2026 |
124.64 -7.4% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 124.11 -7.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 22 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.