CBRS
Moving with its group (SMH -2.0%)
- CBRS −1.73% on the last session vs SPY +0.04%: −1.8 pts of stock-specific move.
- The semiconductor ETF (SMH) -2.0% (-2.0 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- 4 Reddit mentions in the past 24 hours, 64% positive over the week.
- 4 insider or congressional trades in the past 30 days.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CBRS only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
149.07 +5.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
159.01 +12.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 139.03 · prior close 141.48 | |
| Bargain buy side |
134.28 -5.1% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
125.89 -11.0% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 132.02 | 2 in 10 days | 151.62 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 134.28 | 3 in 10 days | 149.07 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 136.42 | 4 in 10 days | 146.73 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 121.20 | 2 in 10 weeks | 165.15 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 125.89 | 3 in 10 weeks | 159.01 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 130.42 | 4 in 10 weeks | 153.48 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CBRS's daily swings (about 5.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among CBRS's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 330.00 +137.4% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high May 14, 2026 |
311.07 +123.7% |
| Mean analyst target | 291.64 +109.8% |
| Lowest analyst target | 209.00 +50.3% |
| 50-day average | 193.63 +39.3% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 159.01 +14.4% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
141.48 +1.8% |
| Now | 139.03 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 15, 2026 |
139.03 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 125.89 -9.5% |
Closing prices. Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.