CCI
Moving with its group (XLRE +1.2%)
- CCI +1.52% on the last session vs SPY +0.13%: +1.4 pts of stock-specific move.
- Earnings Wed after the close: EPS $0.68 expected (7 analysts); it moved ±4.1% on average after its last 8 reports.
- The real estate ETF (XLRE) +1.2% (+1.1 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, rsi overbought (RSI 71 today so far, above 70): After its 8 overbought readings in the past 5 years, CCI was higher a month later 2 times out of 8; half the outcomes fell between -4.5% and -1.3%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CCI only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
82.14 +3.5% reached 3 in 10 days |
85.68 +7.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 80.59 · prior close 79.38 | |
| Bargain buy side |
76.71 -3.4% reached 3 in 10 days |
73.54 -7.4% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 75.87 | 2 in 10 days | 83.05 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 76.71 | 3 in 10 days | 82.14 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 77.51 | 4 in 10 days | 81.29 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 71.74 | 2 in 10 weeks | 87.83 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 73.54 | 3 in 10 weeks | 85.68 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 75.26 | 4 in 10 weeks | 83.72 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CCI's daily swings (about 3.5% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among CCI's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Dec 31, 2021 |
164.14 +103.7% |
| Highest analyst target | 120.00 +48.9% |
| Mean analyst target | 94.45 +17.2% |
| 52-week closing high Oct 20, 2025 |
94.03 +16.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 85.68 +6.3% |
| Now | 80.59 |
| 200-day average | 80.53 -0.1% |
| Lowest analyst target | 80.00 -0.7% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
79.38 -1.5% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 73.54 -8.7% |
| 50-day average | 73.10 -9.3% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 1, 2026 |
66.12 -18.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 28 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.