CDW

Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet

• CDW −1.87% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −2.6 pts of stock-specific move.
• Aftermath, crossed above 200-day avg (Oct 1): After its 12 crosses above the 200-day average in the past 5 years, CDW typically lost 0.6% over the next week (median) and was higher only 33% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -1.4% and +0.1%. An ordinary week: +0.2%. Among S&P 500 stocks after crosses above the 200-day average, that ranks #491 of 497.
• Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.