CHKP
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CHKP only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
155.59 +2.3% reached 3 in 10 days |
160.01 +5.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 143.23 · prior close 152.11 | |
| Bargain buy side |
148.70 -2.2% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
144.60 -4.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 147.61 | 2 in 10 days | 156.74 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 148.70 | 3 in 10 days | 155.59 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 149.73 | 4 in 10 days | 154.53 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 142.24 | 2 in 10 weeks | 162.67 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 144.60 | 3 in 10 weeks | 160.01 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 146.83 | 4 in 10 weeks | 157.58 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CHKP's daily swings (about 2.3% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
Big drop and big gain: among CHKP's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time closing high Jun 6, 2025 |
233.47 +63.0% |
| 52-week closing high Nov 11, 2025 |
204.39 +42.7% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 160.01 +11.7% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
152.11 +6.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 144.60 +1.0% |
| Now | 143.23 |
| 200-day average | 140.80 -1.7% |
| 50-day average | 137.64 -3.9% |
| 52-week closing low Apr 30, 2026 |
112.47 -21.5% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 30 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.