CHRW
Moving with the market
- CHRW +0.67% on the last session vs SPY +0.12%: +0.6 pts of stock-specific move.
- 3 analyst actions in the past 10 days (0 positive, 3 negative); latest: Truist Securities maintained Buy, lowered target $215 → $200.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CHRW only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
143.79 +3.1% reached 3 in 10 days |
149.34 +7.1% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 140.39 · prior close 139.45 | |
| Bargain buy side |
135.24 -3.0% reached 3 in 10 days |
130.21 -6.6% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 133.90 | 2 in 10 days | 145.23 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 135.24 | 3 in 10 days | 143.79 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 136.50 | 4 in 10 days | 142.46 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 127.35 | 2 in 10 weeks | 152.70 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 130.21 | 3 in 10 weeks | 149.34 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 132.94 | 4 in 10 weeks | 146.28 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CHRW's daily swings (about 3.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
Big drop and big gain: among CHRW's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 235.00 +67.4% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 21, 2026 |
208.52 +48.5% |
| Mean analyst target | 197.48 +40.7% |
| 200-day average | 170.09 +21.2% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 149.34 +6.4% |
| 50-day average | 147.04 +4.7% |
| Now | 140.39 |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
139.45 -0.7% |
| Lowest analyst target | 135.00 -3.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 130.21 -7.2% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 23, 2025 |
123.53 -12.0% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 29 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.