CHT
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CHT only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
49.42 +0.9% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 28% |
49.95 +2.0% ↓ less often after a new 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 27% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 49.06 · prior close 48.99 | |
| Bargain buy side |
48.57 -0.9% reached 3 in 10 days |
48.05 -1.9% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 48.43 | 2 in 10 days | 49.56 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 48.57 | 3 in 10 days | 49.42 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 28% |
| Eager | 48.69 | 4 in 10 days | 49.29 | 4 in 10 days↓ 43% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 47.74 | 2 in 10 weeks | 50.27 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 48.05 | 3 in 10 weeks | 49.95 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 27% vs 30% |
| Eager | 48.33 | 4 in 10 weeks | 49.66 | 5 in 10 weeks↓ 45% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CHT's daily swings (about 0.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 27% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 9 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | +0.5% | +3.1% | — | — |
| Sep 10, 2026 | +0.2% | +2.7% | +3.3% | — |
| Jun 11, 2026 | +0.9% | -1.5% | -6.4% | +1.3% |
| Aug 19, 2025 | +0.8% | -4.1% | -3.0% | -7.9% |
| Jun 12, 2025 | +2.0% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| May 2, 2025 | +4.5% | +1.9% | +3.4% | +7.6% |
| Sep 23, 2024 | +0.8% | +0.1% | -3.5% | -5.1% |
| Aug 19, 2024 | +1.4% | +0.4% | +1.1% | -2.7% |
Big drop and big gain: among CHT's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 49.95 +1.8% |
| Now | 49.06 |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Nov 2, 2026 |
49.06 0.0% |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
48.99 -0.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 48.05 -2.1% |
| 50-day average | 45.86 -6.5% |
| 200-day average | 42.86 -12.6% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 18, 2025 |
39.19 -20.1% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 23 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.