CI
Moving with its group (XLV +2.6%)
- CI +3.37% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +3.3 pts of stock-specific move.
- The health care ETF (XLV) +2.6% (+2.5 pts vs SPY): the stock moved with its group.
- Aftermath, rsi overbought (RSI 72 today so far, above 70): After its 11 overbought readings in the past 5 years, CI was higher a month later 3 times out of 11; half the outcomes fell between -4.2% and -0.5%. History, not a forecast.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CI only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
293.52 +1.4% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 26% vs usual 28% reached today |
298.46 +3.1% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 26% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 299.34 · prior close 289.58 | |
| Bargain buy side |
285.69 -1.3% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 days · 25% vs usual 26% |
280.96 -3.0% ↓ less often after a big gain
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 284.44 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% | 294.81 | 2 in 10 days↓ 16% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 285.69 | 3 in 10 days↓ 25% vs 26% | 293.52 | 3 in 10 days↓ 26% vs 28% |
| Eager | 286.86 | 4 in 10 days | 292.32 | 4 in 10 days↓ 42% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 278.22 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 301.41 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 15% vs 19% |
| Balanced | 280.96 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 298.46 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 26% vs 30% |
| Eager | 283.54 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 40% vs 43% | 295.75 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 44% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CI's daily swings (about 1.4% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next session: reached 26% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 25% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 8 of 10 years)
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 26% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 10 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | +2.5% | -0.5% | — | — |
| Sep 14, 2026 | +3.3% | -5.4% | -2.6% | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | +2.5% | -1.2% | -4.8% | — |
| Aug 7, 2026 | +2.6% | 0.0% | -1.8% | — |
| Jul 21, 2026 | +2.3% | +3.6% | -4.5% | — |
| Jul 13, 2026 | +3.8% | -6.8% | -10.1% | -6.7% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | +3.9% | +2.0% | -2.0% | -6.4% |
| Jun 4, 2026 | +4.3% | +5.0% | +2.1% | +2.0% |
Big drop and big gain: among CI's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Highest analyst target | 400.00 +33.6% |
| All-time closing high Sep 16, 2024 |
351.99 +17.6% |
| Mean analyst target | 342.29 +14.3% |
| 52-week closing high Jul 13, 2026 |
302.82 +1.2% |
| Now | 299.34 |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 298.46 -0.3% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
289.58 -3.3% |
| Lowest analyst target | 288.00 -3.8% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 280.96 -6.1% |
| 200-day average | 277.78 -7.2% |
| 50-day average | 277.71 -7.2% |
| 52-week closing low Oct 31, 2025 |
238.99 -20.2% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 45 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.