CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporatio · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
TECHSellZACKSSell
R500#319 today
$161.95
-0.12% today · -0.36% 1W
Oct 2 close or latest
PreviewWhy it's moving
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- CINF −0.12% on the last session vs SPY +0.74%: −0.9 pts of stock-specific move.
- Aftermath, big gain (Oct 1): After its 66 big gains in the past 5 years, CINF typically gained 0.8% over the next month (median) and was higher 56% of the time; half the outcomes fell between -2.6% and +4.4%. An ordinary month: +0.9%. Among S&P 500 stocks after big gains, that ranks #409 of 500.
- Market backdrop (Fri): Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.1% vs 0.3% expected (cooler); Non-Farm Employment Change 29K vs 89K expected (weaker); S&P futures +0.41%, 10-year yield -5bp in the 30 minutes after.
Assembled from Wallsti's own signals.
Next report
Oct 26
In 22 days
estimated date
EPS estimate
$2.00
$1.75 to $2.55 · 8 analysts
Revenue estimate
$3.0B
$3.0B to $3.0B
Track record
7/8 beats
last 8 reports · moved ±2.5% on average
Reports
| Reported | Quarter | EPS est. | EPS | EPS surprise | Revenue | Reaction | Gap | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 AMC | 2Q2026 | $1.82 | $1.43 | −$0.39 (−21.3%) miss | $4.3B | -0.9% -1.1 vs SPY | -4.2% | -3.4% |
| Apr 27, 2026 AMC | 1Q2026 | $1.94 | $2.10 | +$0.16 (+8.2%) beat | $2.9B | -0.4% +0.1 vs SPY | -1.5% | -3.7% |
| Feb 9, 2026 AMC | 4Q2025 | $2.89 | $3.37 | +$0.48 (+16.6%) beat | $3.1B | -3.3% -3.1 vs SPY | -2.5% | -1.6% |
| Oct 27, 2025 AMC | 3Q2025 | $2.06 | $2.85 | +$0.79 (+38.4%) beat | $3.7B | -3.7% -4.0 vs SPY | -0.3% | -2.5% |
| Jul 28, 2025 AMC | $1.39 | $1.97 | +$0.58 (+41.7%) beat | — | +3.6% +3.9 vs SPY | +5.0% | +1.8% | |
| Apr 28, 2025 AMC | −$0.61 | −$0.24 | +$0.37 (+60.7%) beat | — | +2.9% +2.3 vs SPY | +6.1% | +5.9% | |
| Feb 10, 2025 AMC | $1.87 | $3.14 | +$1.27 (+67.9%) beat | — | +2.8% +2.7 vs SPY | +4.3% | +0.7% | |
| Oct 24, 2024 AMC | $1.43 | $5.20 | +$3.77 (>+100%) beat | — | +2.2% +2.2 vs SPY | +1.0% | +1.9% | |
| Jul 25, 2024 AMC | $0.96 | $1.29 | +$0.33 (+34.4%) beat | — | +3.0% +1.9 vs SPY | -3.6% | +8.0% | |
| Apr 25, 2024 AMC | $1.71 | $1.72 | +$0.01 (+0.6%) beat | — | -6.4% -7.3 vs SPY | -0.1% | -1.9% | |
| Feb 6, 2024 AMC | $1.93 | $2.28 | +$0.35 (+18.1%) beat | — | -4.5% -5.3 vs SPY | -3.7% | -2.2% | |
| Oct 26, 2023 AMC | $1.14 | $1.66 | +$0.52 (+45.6%) beat | — | -2.1% -1.7 vs SPY | -2.1% | +0.2% | |
| Jul 27, 2023 AMC | $0.70 | $1.21 | +$0.51 (+72.9%) beat | — | +6.8% +5.9 vs SPY | +5.2% | +6.6% | |
| Apr 27, 2023 AMC | $0.72 | $0.89 | +$0.17 (+23.6%) beat | — | +2.7% +1.9 vs SPY | +3.1% | +0.4% | |
| Feb 6, 2023 AMC | $1.28 | $1.27 | −$0.01 (−0.8%) miss | — | +10.7% +9.4 vs SPY | +1.1% | +10.3% | |
| Oct 31, 2022 AMC | $0.67 | $0.73 | +$0.06 (+9.0%) beat | — | -4.0% -3.5 vs SPY | +0.1% | -0.9% | |
| Jul 27, 2022 AMC | $1.04 | $0.65 | −$0.39 (−37.5%) miss | — | -13.9% -15.2 vs SPY | -4.0% | -14.8% | |
| Apr 28, 2022 AMC | $1.45 | $1.58 | +$0.13 (+9.0%) beat | — | -9.8% -6.1 vs SPY | -1.5% | -7.5% | |
| Feb 15, 2022 AMC | $1.36 | $1.97 | +$0.61 (+44.9%) beat | — | +6.2% +6.1 vs SPY | +2.1% | +1.4% | |
| Oct 27, 2021 AMC | $0.91 | $1.28 | +$0.37 (+40.7%) beat | — | +4.1% +3.2 vs SPY | +1.5% | +2.9% | |
| Jul 28, 2021 AMC | $0.98 | $1.79 | +$0.81 (+82.7%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Apr 28, 2021 AMC | $1.10 | $1.37 | +$0.27 (+24.5%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Feb 10, 2021 AMC | $1.20 | $1.61 | +$0.41 (+34.2%) beat | — | — | — | — | |
| Oct 26, 2020 AMC | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.00 (0.0%) in line | — | — | — | — |
BMO = before the open, AMC = after the close. Reaction: the first session that could trade on the report (the same day for BMO, the next session for AMC) against the close before it; "vs SPY" subtracts the S&P 500 over the same session. EPS surprise is in dollars, with the percentage only when the estimate is at least $0.10 (near zero, a small beat would show as hundreds of percent). Revenue surprise needs the estimate from before the report, so it starts with the reports Wallsti saw coming.
Analyst estimates
| Period | EPS | Range | vs year ago | 90-day trend | Revisions 30d | Revenue | vs year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter · Sep 30, 2026 | $2.00 (8) | $1.75 – $2.55 | -30% | +5.8% | ▲3 ▼2 | $3.0B | -19% |
| Next quarter · Dec 31, 2026 | $2.93 (7) | $2.73 – $3.12 | -13% | -1.0% | ▲3 ▼4 | $3.1B | -1% |
| Current year · Dec 31, 2026 | $8.50 (8) | $8.15 – $9.36 | +7% | -3.0% | ▲0 ▼8 | $13.2B | +5% |
| Next year · Dec 31, 2027 | $9.06 (8) | $8.65 – $9.55 | +7% | -1.3% | ▲1 ▼6 | $12.6B | -5% |
Consensus as of Oct 4, 2026. Source: Yahoo Finance analyst estimates; schedule and timing also from Nasdaq's earnings calendar.