CNK
Outperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- CNK +1.26% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: +1.2 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CNK only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
38.91 +1.9% reached 3 in 10 days reached today |
39.81 +4.2% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 38.68 · prior close 38.20 | |
| Bargain buy side |
37.50 -1.8% reached 3 in 10 days |
36.65 -4.0% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 37.28 | 2 in 10 days | 39.15 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 37.50 | 3 in 10 days | 38.91 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 37.71 | 4 in 10 days | 38.70 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 36.17 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 40.35 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 36.65 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 39.81 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 37.12 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 39.32 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CNK's daily swings (about 1.9% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among CNK's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 39.81 +2.9% |
| All-time closing high May 3, 2019 |
39.76 +2.8% |
| Now | 38.68 |
| 52-week closing high Oct 15, 2026 |
38.68 0.0% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
38.20 -1.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 36.65 -5.2% |
| 50-day average | 36.44 -5.8% |
| 200-day average | 30.30 -21.7% |
| 52-week closing low Dec 18, 2025 |
21.74 -43.8% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 19 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.