CORZ
Underperforming without a clear catalyst yet
- CORZ −1.92% on the last session vs SPY +0.10%: −2.0 pts of stock-specific move.
- Market backdrop (Today): Core PPI m/m 1.3% vs 0.3% expected (hotter); Core Retail Sales m/m 0.9% vs 0.6% expected (stronger); S&P futures -0.08%, 10-year yield -3bp in the 30 minutes after.
- Activity: volume on pace for 3.7× its 20-day average.
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CORZ only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
14.14 +4.7% ↑ more often after a new 52-week low
reached 4 in 10 days · 36% vs usual 28% |
14.96 +10.7% ↑ more often after a big drop
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 31% vs usual 30% |
| Now | 13.25 · prior close 13.51 | |
| Bargain buy side |
12.91 -4.5% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 2 in 10 days · 24% vs usual 26% reached today |
12.20 -9.7% ↓ less often while far below its high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 25% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 12.72 | 2 in 10 days↓ 15% vs 17% | 14.35 | 3 in 10 days↑ 25% vs 17% |
| Balanced | 12.91 | 2 in 10 days↓ 24% vs 26% | 14.14 | 4 in 10 days↑ 36% vs 28% |
| Eager | 13.09 | 4 in 10 days↓ 40% vs 41% | 13.95 | 5 in 10 days↑ 52% vs 45% |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 11.80 | 2 in 10 weeks↓ 16% vs 18% | 15.46 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 12.20 | 3 in 10 weeks↓ 25% vs 27% | 14.96 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 31% vs 30% |
| Eager | 12.58 | 4 in 10 weeks↓ 41% vs 43% | 14.51 | 5 in 10 weeks↑ 49% vs 48% |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CORZ's daily swings (about 4.7% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 14 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 14 close
- Stretch price, next 5 sessions: reached 31% of weeks instead of the usual 30% (held in 8 of 10 years)
| Date | That day | 1 week on | 1 month on | 3 months on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | -5.5% | +8.3% | -9.0% | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | -6.3% | +8.4% | -1.2% | — |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -6.4% | -4.4% | -9.1% | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -7.5% | +3.5% | -6.9% | — |
| Jul 27, 2026 | -8.8% | +10.1% | -13.1% | — |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -7.5% | +14.0% | -4.0% | -35.7% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -7.3% | +0.1% | -12.6% | -32.6% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -7.4% | +6.8% | -9.1% | -30.8% |
- Stretch price, next session: reached 36% of days instead of the usual 28% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next session: reached 24% of days instead of the usual 26% (held in 9 of 10 years)
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 25% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 10 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among CORZ's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jun 18, 2026 |
29.16 +120.1% |
| 200-day average | 19.80 +49.4% |
| 50-day average | 17.49 +32.0% |
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 14.96 +12.9% |
| Previous close Oct 14, 2026 |
13.51 +2.0% |
| Now | 13.25 |
| 52-week closing low Oct 15, 2026 |
13.25 0.0% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 12.20 -7.9% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 3 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.