CPK
Bargain & stretch prices
Prices CPK only reaches with set odds, from its own recent swings. Odds, not a forecast.
| Today | Next 5 sessions | |
|---|---|---|
| Stretch sell side |
138.04 +1.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
140.08 +2.7% reached 3 in 10 weeks |
| Now | 136.63 · prior close 136.41 | |
| Bargain buy side |
134.80 -1.2% reached 3 in 10 days |
132.84 -2.6% ↑ more often while near its 52-week high
reached 3 in 10 weeks · 29% vs usual 27% |
More patient or more eager
| Bargain | Reached | Stretch | Reached | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | ||||
| Patient | 134.28 | 2 in 10 days | 138.57 | 2 in 10 days |
| Balanced | 134.80 | 3 in 10 days | 138.04 | 3 in 10 days |
| Eager | 135.29 | 4 in 10 days | 137.54 | 5 in 10 days |
| Next 5 sessions | ||||
| Patient | 131.70 | 2 in 10 weeks↑ 20% vs 18% | 141.29 | 2 in 10 weeks |
| Balanced | 132.84 | 3 in 10 weeks↑ 29% vs 27% | 140.08 | 3 in 10 weeks |
| Eager | 133.91 | 4 in 10 weeks↑ 44% vs 43% | 138.96 | 5 in 10 weeks |
"3 in 10 days" means the price was reached on about 3 of every 10 days like this one. Patient prices are further away and come less often; eager ones are closer and come more often. From CPK's daily swings (about 1.2% a day lately), anchored on the Oct 30 close. The odds were measured on 10 years of S&P 500 prices (they move about 3 points from year to year with the market: bargain prices come more often in falling years, stretch prices in rising ones), and where a situation below changed them consistently (in at least 8 of 10 years), they are adjusted and marked. In those tests, waiting for the bargain price did no better on average than buying at the close: what you save when it comes, you pay when it doesn't.
Situations on the Oct 30 close
- Bargain price, next 5 sessions: reached 29% of weeks instead of the usual 27% (held in 8 of 10 years)
Big drop and big gain: among CPK's own worst or best 10% of daily moves, as on the Aftermath tab. The past times are history: in our tests, how a stock did after its earlier times did not predict the next one, and across the S&P 500 none of these situations leaned up or down except, weakly, an all-time high followed by a big drop. Not advice.
Price ladder
| Stretch, next 5 sessions | 140.08 +2.5% |
| All-time and 52-week closing high Jul 28, 2026 |
137.14 +0.4% |
| Now | 136.63 |
| Previous close Oct 30, 2026 |
136.41 -0.2% |
| Bargain, next 5 sessions | 132.84 -2.8% |
| 50-day average | 130.77 -4.3% |
| 200-day average | 128.14 -6.2% |
| 52-week closing low Jun 22, 2026 |
118.30 -13.4% |
Closing prices (all-time = the 47 years Yahoo has). Percentages are the distance from now. These are levels people watch, not levels the price has to respect. Not advice.